Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Under 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 11 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 45% and Under 74.5 55%. Recent results are 45% over and 55% under, with an average total of 76.9 and 77% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
11 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
82%
9/11
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
18%
2/11
Set 1 win rate
Adam Strelec6/11
Jiri Matus5/11
When Adam Strelec Wins S1
S2 Jiri Matus (Split)
67%4/6
3-0 Adam Strelec (Sweep)
33%2/6
ML Adam Strelec
67%4/6
When Jiri Matus Wins S1
S2 Adam Strelec (Split)
80%4/5
3-0 Jiri Matus (Sweep)
0%0/5
ML Jiri Matus
40%2/5
Post-split ML
Adam Strelec 56%5/9
|Jiri Matus 44%4/9
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 11 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Adam Strelec
36%
4/11 meetings cleared the line
Jiri Matus
9%
1/11 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Adam Strelec
Average
7.9 pts
Median
9 pts
Jiri Matus
Average
6.3 pts
Median
6 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 11 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.
20 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Adam Strelec
9/10 total close-outs
90%
Up 2-0
100% 2/2
Up 2-1
100% 4/4
Tied 2-2
75% 3/4
Jiri Matus
5/10 total close-outs
50%
Up 2-0
0% 0/1
Up 2-1
80% 4/5
Tied 2-2
25% 1/4
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 11 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.
46 sets in scope
Set #
Adam Strelec
-1.5
57% 26/46
-2.5
39% 18/46
-3.5
30% 14/46
-4.5
22% 10/46
Jiri Matus
-1.5
43% 20/46
-2.5
26% 12/46
-3.5
17% 8/46
-4.5
15% 7/46
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Attack S2 and keep S3 live
S1 losers answer in S2 at 67% when Adam Strelec takes the opener and 80% when Jiri Matus does. With 77% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.
Match total
Small under lean, not a must-play
Under leads 55% on Usable sample, but the gap is still narrow enough that live pace matters more than the raw board number.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Adam Strelec
Series share 61% across 31 tracked · close-out 90%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
If Jiri Matus wins S1, look Adam Strelec in S2
Adam Strelec answers in set 2 80% of the time (4/5) when Jiri Matus takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
23% / 13% win rate
Adam Strelec 7-4 Jiri Matus
Current streak
Jiri Matus 2
Recent 5 split
Adam Strelec / Jiri Matus
2-3
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 11-match loaded sample
18% / 82%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
77% / 45%
Risk profile
45% consistency
35 pt range
Avg win margin
Adam Strelec / Jiri Matus
7.9 / 6.3
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 77.4 total · 80% 4+ sets
40% O / 60% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 75.3 total · 80% 4+ sets
40% O / 60% U
Last 20
11 matches · avg 76.9 total · 82% 4+ sets
45% O / 55% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Adam Strelec
W vs Lukas Krupnik Jr
TT Cup · Oct 5, 8:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Lukas Krupnik Jr
TT Cup · Oct 5, 8:10 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Jiri Matus
TT Cup · Oct 5, 6:40 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Ondrej Skvor
TT Cup · Oct 5, 6:10 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Patrik Sturma
TT Cup · Oct 4, 4:40 PM
0
0 pts
Jiri Matus
L vs Ondrej Skvor
TT Cup · Oct 5, 9:20 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Ondrej Skvor
TT Cup · Oct 5, 7:40 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Adam Strelec
TT Cup · Oct 5, 6:40 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Lukas Krupnik Jr
TT Cup · Oct 5, 5:40 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Lukas Krupnik Jr
TT Cup · Oct 3, 9:10 PM
0
0 pts