Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

TT Elite Series

31 meetings · Last meeting Sep 22, 10:25 AM · Last total 97

TimeOct 6, 6:30 AM
Meetings31

Quick read

Over 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 13 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 77% and Under 74.5 23%. Recent results are 77% over and 23% under, with an average total of 84.1 and 84% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Low sweep 16%Attack S2 and keep S3 live
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 13 totals
RecentO 77% / U 23%
Texture4+ 84% · Sweep 16%
TrendOver 77% · 0%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

13 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

85%

11/13

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

15%

2/13

Set 1 win rate

62%
38%

Adrian Wiecek8/13

Josef Braun5/13

When Adrian Wiecek Wins S1

S2 Josef Braun (Split)

63%5/8

3-0 Adrian Wiecek (Sweep)

25%2/8

ML Adrian Wiecek

75%6/8

When Josef Braun Wins S1

S2 Adrian Wiecek (Split)

80%4/5

3-0 Josef Braun (Sweep)

0%0/5

ML Josef Braun

20%1/5

Post-split ML

Adrian Wiecek 73%8/11

|

Josef Braun 27%3/11

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 13 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Adrian Wiecek

54%

7/13 meetings cleared the line

Josef Braun

0%

0/13 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Adrian Wiecek

Average

9.3 pts

Median

9.5 pts

Josef Braun

Average

2 pts

Median

1 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 13 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.

27 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Adrian Wiecek

15/18 total close-outs

83%

Up 2-0

100% 3/3

Up 2-1

89% 8/9

Tied 2-2

67% 4/6

Josef Braun

5/9 total close-outs

56%

Up 2-0

100% 1/1

Up 2-1

100% 2/2

Tied 2-2

33% 2/6

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 13 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.

56 sets in scope

Set #

Adrian Wiecek

-1.5

63% 35/56

-2.5

43% 24/56

-3.5

30% 17/56

-4.5

20% 11/56

Josef Braun

-1.5

38% 21/56

-2.5

14% 8/56

-3.5

4% 2/56

-4.5

4% 2/56

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Attack S2 and keep S3 live

S1 losers answer in S2 at 63% when Adrian Wiecek takes the opener and 80% when Josef Braun does. With 84% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.

Strong

Match total

Over 74.5 is playable pre-match

Over hits 77% on the loaded sample with recent 77% and the line sitting 9.6 pts below the matchup average. Trend 0%.

Playable

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Adrian Wiecek

Series share 71% across 31 tracked · recent form 60% win rate · close-out 83%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Strong

Live trigger

If Josef Braun wins S1, look Adrian Wiecek in S2

Adrian Wiecek answers in set 2 80% of the time (4/5) when Josef Braun takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.

Playable

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Adrian Wiecek
Josef Braun

Recent record

12-8
8-12

Win rate

60%
40%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

W1
L4

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

32% / 10% win rate

Adrian Wiecek 10-3 Josef Braun

Current streak

Josef Braun 2

Recent 5 split

Adrian Wiecek / Josef Braun

3-2

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 13-match loaded sample

15% / 85%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

84% / 77%

Risk profile

15% consistency

55 pt range

Avg win margin

Adrian Wiecek / Josef Braun

9.3 / 2

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 77.6 total · 60% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 83.6 total · 80% 4+ sets

80% O / 20% U

Last 20

13 matches · avg 84.1 total · 85% 4+ sets

77% O / 23% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Adrian Wiecek

W vs Petr David

TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 1:45 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Grzegorz Felkel

TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 12:55 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Jakub Kosowski

TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 12:05 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Jakub Kuzmicz

TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 10:25 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Krystian Kolodziej

TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 9:40 AM

0

0 pts

Josef Braun

L vs Krystian Kolodziej

TT Elite Series · Sep 22, 2:10 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Dawid Michna

TT Elite Series · Sep 22, 1:20 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Grzegorz Felkel

TT Elite Series · Sep 22, 11:15 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Adrian Wiecek

TT Elite Series · Sep 22, 10:25 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Jakub Kosowski

TT Elite Series · Sep 22, 9:00 AM

0

0 pts

Adrian Wiecek vs Josef Braun | Table Tennis Splits