Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Setka Cup
39 meetings · Last meeting Jun 19, 11:50 AM · Last total 67
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 31 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 68% and Under 74.5 32%. Recent results are 75% over and 25% under, with an average total of 82.4 and 82% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
31 loaded meetings out of 39 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
84%
26/31
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
16%
5/31
Set 1 win rate
Andrii Derevianko23/31
Mykhailo Sokur8/31
When Andrii Derevianko Wins S1
S2 Mykhailo Sokur (Split)
52%12/23
3-0 Andrii Derevianko (Sweep)
17%4/23
ML Andrii Derevianko
74%17/23
When Mykhailo Sokur Wins S1
S2 Andrii Derevianko (Split)
50%4/8
3-0 Mykhailo Sokur (Sweep)
13%1/8
ML Mykhailo Sokur
63%5/8
Post-split ML
Andrii Derevianko 62%16/26
|Mykhailo Sokur 38%10/26
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 31 loaded meetings out of 39 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Andrii Derevianko
29%
9/31 meetings cleared the line
Mykhailo Sokur
19%
6/31 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Andrii Derevianko
Average
6.8 pts
Median
7 pts
Mykhailo Sokur
Average
6 pts
Median
8 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 31 loaded meetings out of 39 tracked.
75 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Andrii Derevianko
32/43 total close-outs
74%
Up 2-0
91% 10/11
Up 2-1
80% 12/15
Tied 2-2
59% 10/17
Mykhailo Sokur
17/32 total close-outs
53%
Up 2-0
75% 3/4
Up 2-1
64% 7/11
Tied 2-2
41% 7/17
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 31 loaded meetings out of 39 tracked.
136 sets in scope
Set #
Andrii Derevianko
-1.5
57% 77/136
-2.5
39% 53/136
-3.5
26% 35/136
-4.5
19% 26/136
Mykhailo Sokur
-1.5
43% 59/136
-2.5
27% 37/136
-3.5
21% 29/136
-4.5
17% 23/136
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Attack S2 and keep S3 live
S1 losers answer in S2 at 52% when Andrii Derevianko takes the opener and 50% when Mykhailo Sokur does. With 82% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 68% on the loaded sample with recent 75% and the line sitting 7.9 pts below the matchup average. Trend +7%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Andrii Derevianko
Series share 62% across 39 tracked · recent form 45% win rate · close-out 74%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
If Andrii Derevianko wins S1, look Mykhailo Sokur in S2
Mykhailo Sokur answers in set 2 52% of the time (12/23) when Andrii Derevianko takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
51% / 28% win rate
Andrii Derevianko 20-11 Mykhailo Sokur
Current streak
Mykhailo Sokur 1
Recent 5 split
Andrii Derevianko / Mykhailo Sokur
4-1
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 31-match loaded sample
16% / 84%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
82% / 52%
Risk profile
26% consistency
59 pt range
Avg win margin
Andrii Derevianko / Mykhailo Sokur
6.8 / 6
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 80.4 total · 100% 4+ sets
60% O / 40% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 86.8 total · 100% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 84.5 total · 90% 4+ sets
75% O / 25% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Andrii Derevianko
L vs Yehor Opryshchenko
Setka Cup · Jul 18, 10:50 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Volodymyr Savoliuk
Setka Cup · Jul 18, 8:50 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Setka Cup · Jul 18, 7:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Yehor Riadynskyi
Setka Cup · Jul 18, 6:50 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Volodymyr Savoliuk
Setka Cup · Jul 14, 11:50 AM
0
0 pts
Mykhailo Sokur
W vs Andrii Derevianko
Setka Cup · Jun 19, 11:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Setka Cup · Jun 19, 10:20 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Anatolii Lievshin
Setka Cup · Jun 19, 8:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Setka Cup · Jun 19, 7:20 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Volodymyr Savoliuk
Setka Cup · Jun 19, 5:50 AM
0
0 pts