Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Setka Cup
55 meetings · Last meeting Apr 16, 6:20 PM · Last total 67
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 33 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 67% and Under 74.5 33%. Recent results are 75% over and 25% under, with an average total of 81.8 and 85% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
33 loaded meetings out of 55 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
82%
27/33
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
18%
6/33
Set 1 win rate
Andrii Derevianko24/33
Mykhailo Sokur9/33
When Andrii Derevianko Wins S1
S2 Mykhailo Sokur (Split)
50%12/24
3-0 Andrii Derevianko (Sweep)
17%4/24
ML Andrii Derevianko
71%17/24
When Mykhailo Sokur Wins S1
S2 Andrii Derevianko (Split)
44%4/9
3-0 Mykhailo Sokur (Sweep)
22%2/9
ML Mykhailo Sokur
67%6/9
Post-split ML
Andrii Derevianko 59%16/27
|Mykhailo Sokur 41%11/27
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 33 loaded meetings out of 55 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Andrii Derevianko
27%
9/33 meetings cleared the line
Mykhailo Sokur
21%
7/33 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Andrii Derevianko
Average
6.8 pts
Median
7 pts
Mykhailo Sokur
Average
6.1 pts
Median
8 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 33 loaded meetings out of 55 tracked.
80 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Andrii Derevianko
32/46 total close-outs
70%
Up 2-0
83% 10/12
Up 2-1
75% 12/16
Tied 2-2
56% 10/18
Mykhailo Sokur
19/34 total close-outs
56%
Up 2-0
80% 4/5
Up 2-1
64% 7/11
Tied 2-2
44% 8/18
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 33 loaded meetings out of 55 tracked.
144 sets in scope
Set #
Andrii Derevianko
-1.5
55% 79/144
-2.5
38% 55/144
-3.5
26% 37/144
-4.5
19% 27/144
Mykhailo Sokur
-1.5
45% 65/144
-2.5
28% 40/144
-3.5
22% 32/144
-4.5
17% 25/144
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Attack S2 and keep S3 live
S1 losers answer in S2 at 50% when Andrii Derevianko takes the opener and 44% when Mykhailo Sokur does. With 85% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 67% on the loaded sample with recent 75% and the line sitting 7.3 pts below the matchup average. Trend +8%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Andrii Derevianko
Series share 64% across 55 tracked · recent form 65% win rate. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
If Andrii Derevianko wins S1, look Mykhailo Sokur in S2
Mykhailo Sokur answers in set 2 50% of the time (12/24) when Andrii Derevianko takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
36% / 24% win rate
Andrii Derevianko 20-13 Mykhailo Sokur
Current streak
Mykhailo Sokur 1
Recent 5 split
Andrii Derevianko / Mykhailo Sokur
4-1
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 33-match loaded sample
18% / 82%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
85% / 48%
Risk profile
21% consistency
59 pt range
Avg win margin
Andrii Derevianko / Mykhailo Sokur
6.8 / 6.1
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 80.4 total · 100% 4+ sets
60% O / 40% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 86.8 total · 100% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 84.5 total · 90% 4+ sets
75% O / 25% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Andrii Derevianko
W vs Valerii Merzlikin
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 11:20 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Evhenii Hrytsenko
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 9:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Yehor Riadynskyi
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 7:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Mykhailo Sokur
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 5:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Setka Cup · Apr 16, 7:20 PM
0
0 pts
Mykhailo Sokur
W vs Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 10:20 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Yehor Riadynskyi
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 8:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Valerii Merzlikin
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 7:20 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Andrii Derevianko
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 5:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Yehor Riadynskyi
Setka Cup · Apr 16, 9:50 PM
0
0 pts