Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Setka Cup

43 meetings · Last meeting Jun 19, 8:20 AM · Last total 66

TimeOct 6, 6:50 AM
Meetings43

Quick read

Under 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 36 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 42% and Under 74.5 58%. Recent results are 35% over and 65% under, with an average total of 71.6 and 56% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

High sweep 44%Avoid long set ladders
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 36 totals
RecentO 35% / U 65%
Texture4+ 56% · Sweep 44%
TrendUnder 58% · -7%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

36 loaded meetings out of 43 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

53%

19/36

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

47%

17/36

Set 1 win rate

67%
33%

Andrii Derevianko24/36

Oleksandr Zhyrnov12/36

When Andrii Derevianko Wins S1

S2 Oleksandr Zhyrnov (Split)

29%7/24

3-0 Andrii Derevianko (Sweep)

58%14/24

ML Andrii Derevianko

100%24/24

When Oleksandr Zhyrnov Wins S1

S2 Andrii Derevianko (Split)

50%6/12

3-0 Oleksandr Zhyrnov (Sweep)

25%3/12

ML Oleksandr Zhyrnov

50%6/12

Post-split ML

Andrii Derevianko 84%16/19

|

Oleksandr Zhyrnov 16%3/19

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 36 loaded meetings out of 43 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Andrii Derevianko

61%

22/36 meetings cleared the line

Oleksandr Zhyrnov

11%

4/36 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Andrii Derevianko

Average

9.7 pts

Median

9.5 pts

Oleksandr Zhyrnov

Average

9.2 pts

Median

8 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 36 loaded meetings out of 43 tracked.

56 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Andrii Derevianko

35/39 total close-outs

90%

Up 2-0

100% 17/17

Up 2-1

87% 13/15

Tied 2-2

71% 5/7

Oleksandr Zhyrnov

7/17 total close-outs

41%

Up 2-0

67% 4/6

Up 2-1

25% 1/4

Tied 2-2

29% 2/7

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 36 loaded meetings out of 43 tracked.

134 sets in scope

Set #

Andrii Derevianko

-1.5

71% 95/134

-2.5

47% 63/134

-3.5

33% 44/134

-4.5

25% 33/134

Oleksandr Zhyrnov

-1.5

29% 39/134

-2.5

15% 20/134

-3.5

10% 14/134

-4.5

7% 10/134

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Avoid long set ladders

44% full sweeps and 45% recent sweeps keep short-match finishes live. Better to stay selective than force multi-set paths.

Caution

Match total

Under 74.5 is playable pre-match

Under hits 58% on the loaded sample with recent 65% and the line sitting 2.9 pts above the matchup average. Trend +7%.

Caution

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Andrii Derevianko

Series share 81% across 43 tracked · close-out 90% · 4-match streak. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Strong

Live trigger

Back Andrii Derevianko live after an S1 win

Andrii Derevianko converts 100% of matches after winning set 1 (24/24).

Strong

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Andrii Derevianko
Oleksandr Zhyrnov

Recent record

10-10
9-11

Win rate

50%
45%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

L1
L2

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

70% / 14% win rate

Andrii Derevianko 30-6 Oleksandr Zhyrnov

Current streak

Andrii Derevianko 4

Recent 5 split

Andrii Derevianko / Oleksandr Zhyrnov

4-1

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 36-match loaded sample

47% / 53%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

56% / 53%

Risk profile

22% consistency

69 pt range

Avg win margin

Andrii Derevianko / Oleksandr Zhyrnov

9.7 / 9.2

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 77.4 total · 80% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 66.1 total · 40% 4+ sets

30% O / 70% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 71.2 total · 50% 4+ sets

35% O / 65% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Andrii Derevianko

L vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy

Setka Cup · Oct 3, 12:20 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Anatolii Nazarov

Setka Cup · Oct 3, 10:20 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Oleksandr Zhyrnov

Setka Cup · Oct 3, 9:20 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Maksym Mrykh

Setka Cup · Oct 3, 8:20 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Volodymyr Savoliuk

Setka Cup · Oct 3, 6:50 AM

0

0 pts

Oleksandr Zhyrnov

L vs Evhenii Hrytsenko

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 4:40 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Andrii Derevianko

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 3:40 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Volodymir Maksuta

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 2:40 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Yehor Riadynskyi

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 1:10 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 11:10 AM

0

0 pts