Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 13 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 69% and Under 74.5 31%. Recent results are 69% over and 31% under, with an average total of 79.1 and 79% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
13 loaded meetings out of 14 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
77%
10/13
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
23%
3/13
Set 1 win rate
Ihor Burak7/13
Daniil Novakov6/13
When Ihor Burak Wins S1
S2 Daniil Novakov (Split)
29%2/7
3-0 Ihor Burak (Sweep)
43%3/7
ML Ihor Burak
86%6/7
When Daniil Novakov Wins S1
S2 Ihor Burak (Split)
67%4/6
3-0 Daniil Novakov (Sweep)
0%0/6
ML Daniil Novakov
33%2/6
Post-split ML
Ihor Burak 70%7/10
|Daniil Novakov 30%3/10
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 14 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Ihor Burak
31%
4/13 meetings cleared the line
Daniil Novakov
0%
0/13 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Ihor Burak
Average
7 pts
Median
6.5 pts
Daniil Novakov
Average
2.7 pts
Median
3 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 14 tracked.
27 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Ihor Burak
12/17 total close-outs
71%
Up 2-0
80% 4/5
Up 2-1
71% 5/7
Tied 2-2
60% 3/5
Daniil Novakov
4/10 total close-outs
40%
Up 2-0
50% 1/2
Up 2-1
33% 1/3
Tied 2-2
40% 2/5
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 14 tracked.
54 sets in scope
Set #
Ihor Burak
-1.5
63% 34/54
-2.5
39% 21/54
-3.5
28% 15/54
-4.5
17% 9/54
Daniil Novakov
-1.5
35% 19/54
-2.5
22% 12/54
-3.5
19% 10/54
-4.5
11% 6/54
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
S2 is the cleanest set angle
When Daniil Novakov wins S1, Ihor Burak answers in S2 67% of the time (4/6). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 69% on the loaded sample with recent 69% and the line sitting 4.6 pts below the matchup average. Trend 0%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Ihor Burak
Series share 79% across 14 tracked · close-out 71%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
If Daniil Novakov wins S1, look Ihor Burak in S2
Ihor Burak answers in set 2 67% of the time (4/6) when Daniil Novakov takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
71% / 21% win rate
Ihor Burak 10-3 Daniil Novakov
Current streak
Ihor Burak 2
Recent 5 split
Ihor Burak / Daniil Novakov
3-2
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 13-match loaded sample
23% / 77%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
79% / 77%
Risk profile
31% consistency
53 pt range
Avg win margin
Ihor Burak / Daniil Novakov
7 / 2.7
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 79.8 total · 80% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 76.9 total · 70% 4+ sets
70% O / 30% U
Last 20
13 matches · avg 79.1 total · 77% 4+ sets
69% O / 31% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Ihor Burak
W vs Vadym Kucheriavyi
Setka Cup · Jun 7, 1:10 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Serhii Hovorunets
Setka Cup · Jun 7, 11:40 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Vladyslav Stukalov
Setka Cup · Jun 6, 11:35 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Daniil Novakov
Setka Cup · Jun 6, 10:35 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Serhii Hovorunets
Setka Cup · Jun 6, 9:05 AM
0
0 pts
Daniil Novakov
L vs Serhii Hovorunets
Setka Cup · Jun 11, 7:05 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Maksym Stetsenko
Setka Cup · Jun 11, 5:05 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Maksym Stetsenko
Setka Cup · Jun 8, 11:30 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Serhii Hovorunets
Setka Cup · Jun 8, 10:00 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Vladyslav Stukalov
Setka Cup · Jun 8, 8:00 AM
0
0 pts