Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 13 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 69% and Under 74.5 31%. Recent results are 69% over and 31% under, with an average total of 79.1 and 77% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
13 loaded meetings out of 26 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
77%
10/13
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
23%
3/13
Set 1 win rate
Daniil Novakov6/13
Ihor Burak7/13
When Daniil Novakov Wins S1
S2 Ihor Burak (Split)
67%4/6
3-0 Daniil Novakov (Sweep)
0%0/6
ML Daniil Novakov
33%2/6
When Ihor Burak Wins S1
S2 Daniil Novakov (Split)
29%2/7
3-0 Ihor Burak (Sweep)
43%3/7
ML Ihor Burak
86%6/7
Post-split ML
Daniil Novakov 30%3/10
|Ihor Burak 70%7/10
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 26 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Daniil Novakov
0%
0/13 meetings cleared the line
Ihor Burak
31%
4/13 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Daniil Novakov
Average
2.7 pts
Median
3 pts
Ihor Burak
Average
7 pts
Median
6.5 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 26 tracked.
27 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Daniil Novakov
4/10 total close-outs
40%
Up 2-0
50% 1/2
Up 2-1
33% 1/3
Tied 2-2
40% 2/5
Ihor Burak
12/17 total close-outs
71%
Up 2-0
80% 4/5
Up 2-1
71% 5/7
Tied 2-2
60% 3/5
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 26 tracked.
54 sets in scope
Set #
Daniil Novakov
-1.5
35% 19/54
-2.5
22% 12/54
-3.5
19% 10/54
-4.5
11% 6/54
Ihor Burak
-1.5
63% 34/54
-2.5
39% 21/54
-3.5
28% 15/54
-4.5
17% 9/54
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
S2 is the cleanest set angle
When Daniil Novakov wins S1, Ihor Burak answers in S2 67% of the time (4/6). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 69% on the loaded sample with recent 69% and the line sitting 4.6 pts below the matchup average. Trend 0%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Ihor Burak
Series share 77% across 26 tracked · close-out 71%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
If Daniil Novakov wins S1, look Ihor Burak in S2
Ihor Burak answers in set 2 67% of the time (4/6) when Daniil Novakov takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
12% / 38% win rate
Daniil Novakov 3-10 Ihor Burak
Current streak
Ihor Burak 2
Recent 5 split
Daniil Novakov / Ihor Burak
2-3
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 13-match loaded sample
23% / 77%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
77% / 77%
Risk profile
31% consistency
53 pt range
Avg win margin
Daniil Novakov / Ihor Burak
2.7 / 7
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 79.8 total · 80% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 76.9 total · 70% 4+ sets
70% O / 30% U
Last 20
13 matches · avg 79.1 total · 77% 4+ sets
69% O / 31% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Daniil Novakov
W vs Yevhenii Korotin
Setka Cup · Apr 10, 11:00 AM
97
-5 pts
W vs Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Setka Cup · Apr 10, 10:00 AM
85
+3 pts
W vs Vladyslav Stukalov
Setka Cup · Apr 10, 8:30 AM
64
+8 pts
L vs Maksym Stetsenko
Setka Cup · Apr 10, 6:30 AM
59
-7 pts
L vs Vitalii Korniichuk
Setka Cup · Apr 10, 4:30 AM
91
-9 pts
Ihor Burak
L vs Volodymyr Varchenko
Setka Cup · Apr 12, 11:10 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Serhii Baranskyi
Setka Cup · Mar 29, 5:40 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Volodymyr Varchenko
Setka Cup · Mar 29, 3:40 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Vitalii Mukhin
Setka Cup · Mar 29, 1:40 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Yevhenii Korotin
Setka Cup · Mar 29, 12:40 PM
0
0 pts