Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 70 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 65% and Under 74.5 35%. Recent results are 75% over and 25% under, with an average total of 76.5 and 78% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
40 loaded meetings out of 80 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
85%
34/40
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
15%
6/40
Set 1 win rate
Denys Pesternikov23/40
Serhii Rak17/40
When Denys Pesternikov Wins S1
S2 Serhii Rak (Split)
48%11/23
3-0 Denys Pesternikov (Sweep)
13%3/23
ML Denys Pesternikov
61%14/23
When Serhii Rak Wins S1
S2 Denys Pesternikov (Split)
35%6/17
3-0 Serhii Rak (Sweep)
18%3/17
ML Serhii Rak
76%13/17
Post-split ML
Denys Pesternikov 44%15/34
|Serhii Rak 56%19/34
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 40 loaded meetings out of 80 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Denys Pesternikov
18%
7/40 meetings cleared the line
Serhii Rak
25%
10/40 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Denys Pesternikov
Average
7.5 pts
Median
6.5 pts
Serhii Rak
Average
6.8 pts
Median
6.5 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 40 loaded meetings out of 80 tracked.
87 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Denys Pesternikov
27/45 total close-outs
60%
Up 2-0
67% 8/12
Up 2-1
67% 12/18
Tied 2-2
47% 7/15
Serhii Rak
30/42 total close-outs
71%
Up 2-0
82% 9/11
Up 2-1
81% 13/16
Tied 2-2
53% 8/15
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 40 loaded meetings out of 80 tracked.
169 sets in scope
Set #
Denys Pesternikov
-1.5
48% 81/169
-2.5
32% 54/169
-3.5
25% 42/169
-4.5
22% 37/169
Serhii Rak
-1.5
51% 87/169
-2.5
32% 54/169
-3.5
25% 43/169
-4.5
21% 35/169
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
S2 is the cleanest set angle
When Denys Pesternikov wins S1, Serhii Rak answers in S2 48% of the time (11/23). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 65% on the loaded sample with recent 75% and the line sitting 2.0 pts below the matchup average. Trend +10%.
Side / ML
Pass the side pre-match
Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.
Live trigger
If Denys Pesternikov wins S1, look Serhii Rak in S2
Serhii Rak answers in set 2 48% of the time (11/23) when Denys Pesternikov takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
23% / 28% win rate
Denys Pesternikov 18-22 Serhii Rak
Current streak
Denys Pesternikov 1
Recent 5 split
Denys Pesternikov / Serhii Rak
3-2
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 40-match loaded sample
15% / 85%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
78% / 57%
Risk profile
30% consistency
73 pt range
Avg win margin
Denys Pesternikov / Serhii Rak
7.5 / 6.8
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 75.6 total · 80% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 81.2 total · 90% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 80.5 total · 85% 4+ sets
75% O / 25% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Nazar Kovalchuk vs Denys Pesternikov
Setka Cup · 38 meetings
Jun 13, 7:05 AM
Yaroslav Kravets vs Denys Pesternikov
Setka Cup · 36 meetings
Jun 13, 9:05 AM
Serhii Rak vs Volodymyr Plishylo
Setka Cup · 53 meetings
Jun 13, 10:05 AM
Denys Pesternikov vs Volodymyr Plishylo
Setka Cup · 65 meetings
Jun 13, 11:05 AM
Oleh Bindas vs Serhii Rak
Setka Cup · 68 meetings
Jun 13, 11:35 AM
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Denys Pesternikov
L vs Volodymyr Plishylo
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 6:35 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Serhii Rak
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 5:35 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Ivan Kozachuk
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 4:05 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Yaroslav Kravets
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 2:05 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Oleh Bindas
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 12:05 PM
0
0 pts
Serhii Rak
L vs Yaroslav Kravets
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 7:05 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Denys Pesternikov
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 5:35 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Volodymyr Plishylo
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 3:35 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Oleh Bindas
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 1:35 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Ivan Kozachuk
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 12:35 PM
0
0 pts