Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 70 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 57% and Under 74.5 43%. Recent results are 75% over and 25% under, with an average total of 76.5 and 77% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
70 loaded meetings out of 93 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
76%
53/70
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
24%
17/70
Set 1 win rate
Denys Pesternikov39/70
Serhii Rak31/70
When Denys Pesternikov Wins S1
S2 Serhii Rak (Split)
46%18/39
3-0 Denys Pesternikov (Sweep)
28%11/39
ML Denys Pesternikov
67%26/39
When Serhii Rak Wins S1
S2 Denys Pesternikov (Split)
42%13/31
3-0 Serhii Rak (Sweep)
19%6/31
ML Serhii Rak
68%21/31
Post-split ML
Denys Pesternikov 47%25/53
|Serhii Rak 53%28/53
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 70 loaded meetings out of 93 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Denys Pesternikov
29%
20/70 meetings cleared the line
Serhii Rak
21%
15/70 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Denys Pesternikov
Average
9.6 pts
Median
8 pts
Serhii Rak
Average
6.9 pts
Median
6.5 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 70 loaded meetings out of 93 tracked.
144 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Denys Pesternikov
50/76 total close-outs
66%
Up 2-0
81% 17/21
Up 2-1
69% 20/29
Tied 2-2
50% 13/26
Serhii Rak
47/68 total close-outs
69%
Up 2-0
83% 15/18
Up 2-1
79% 19/24
Tied 2-2
50% 13/26
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 70 loaded meetings out of 93 tracked.
289 sets in scope
Set #
Denys Pesternikov
-1.5
51% 148/289
-2.5
36% 103/289
-3.5
29% 83/289
-4.5
24% 70/289
Serhii Rak
-1.5
48% 139/289
-2.5
29% 84/289
-3.5
21% 62/289
-4.5
17% 48/289
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Attack S2 and keep S3 live
S1 losers answer in S2 at 46% when Denys Pesternikov takes the opener and 42% when Serhii Rak does. With 77% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.
Match total
Small over lean, not a must-play
Over leads 57% on Robust sample, but the gap is still narrow enough that live pace matters more than the raw board number.
Side / ML
Pass the side pre-match
Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.
Live trigger
If Denys Pesternikov wins S1, look Serhii Rak in S2
Serhii Rak answers in set 2 46% of the time (18/39) when Denys Pesternikov takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
39% / 37% win rate
Denys Pesternikov 36-34 Serhii Rak
Current streak
Denys Pesternikov 1
Recent 5 split
Denys Pesternikov / Serhii Rak
3-2
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 70-match loaded sample
24% / 76%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
77% / 53%
Risk profile
26% consistency
77 pt range
Avg win margin
Denys Pesternikov / Serhii Rak
9.6 / 6.9
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 75.6 total · 80% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 81.2 total · 90% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 80.5 total · 85% 4+ sets
75% O / 25% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Oleh Bindas vs Denys Pesternikov
Setka Cup · 21 meetings
Apr 11, 9:35 AM
Andrii Zeniuk vs Serhii Rak
Setka Cup · 20 meetings
Apr 14, 7:25 AM
Ivan Kozachuk vs Denys Pesternikov
Setka Cup · 176 meetings
Apr 17, 12:35 PM
Yaroslav Kravets vs Serhii Rak
Setka Cup · 23 meetings
Apr 17, 1:05 PM
Ivan Romaniak vs Denys Pesternikov
Setka Cup · 16 meetings
Apr 17, 1:35 PM
Serhii Rak vs Denys Shcherbak
Setka Cup · 30 meetings
Apr 17, 2:05 PM
Ivan Romaniak vs Serhii Rak
Setka Cup · 24 meetings
Apr 17, 3:05 PM
Yaroslav Kravets vs Denys Pesternikov
Setka Cup · 2 meetings
Apr 17, 3:35 PM
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Denys Pesternikov
L vs Nazar Kovalchuk
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 2:30 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Serhii Rak
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 12:30 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Ruslan Lazebny
Setka Cup · Apr 16, 11:30 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Ivan Kozachuk
Setka Cup · Apr 16, 10:30 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Denys Shcherbak
Setka Cup · Apr 16, 9:00 PM
0
0 pts
Serhii Rak
W vs Ivan Kozachuk
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 2:00 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Denys Pesternikov
Setka Cup · Apr 17, 12:30 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Denys Shcherbak
Setka Cup · Apr 16, 11:00 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Ruslan Lazebny
Setka Cup · Apr 16, 9:30 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Nazar Kovalchuk
Setka Cup · Apr 16, 8:00 PM
0
0 pts