Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

TT Elite Series

17 meetings · Last meeting May 17, 7:00 PM · Last total 104

TimeHistory only
Meetings17

Quick read

Over 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 15 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 80% and Under 74.5 20%. Recent results are 80% over and 20% under, with an average total of 86.5 and 88% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Low sweep 12%Attack S2 and keep S3 live
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 15 totals
RecentO 80% / U 20%
Texture4+ 88% · Sweep 12%
TrendOver 80% · 0%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

15 loaded meetings out of 17 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

87%

13/15

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

13%

2/15

Set 1 win rate

33%
67%

Milosz Piecowski5/15

Gracjan Kesik10/15

When Milosz Piecowski Wins S1

S2 Gracjan Kesik (Split)

40%2/5

3-0 Milosz Piecowski (Sweep)

20%1/5

ML Milosz Piecowski

100%5/5

When Gracjan Kesik Wins S1

S2 Milosz Piecowski (Split)

60%6/10

3-0 Gracjan Kesik (Sweep)

10%1/10

ML Gracjan Kesik

90%9/10

Post-split ML

Milosz Piecowski 38%5/13

|

Gracjan Kesik 62%8/13

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 15 loaded meetings out of 17 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Milosz Piecowski

13%

2/15 meetings cleared the line

Gracjan Kesik

20%

3/15 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Milosz Piecowski

Average

5.2 pts

Median

6.5 pts

Gracjan Kesik

Average

6.2 pts

Median

6 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 15 loaded meetings out of 17 tracked.

34 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Milosz Piecowski

10/15 total close-outs

67%

Up 2-0

100% 3/3

Up 2-1

80% 4/5

Tied 2-2

43% 3/7

Gracjan Kesik

15/19 total close-outs

79%

Up 2-0

100% 4/4

Up 2-1

88% 7/8

Tied 2-2

57% 4/7

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 15 loaded meetings out of 17 tracked.

65 sets in scope

Set #

Milosz Piecowski

-1.5

46% 30/65

-2.5

23% 15/65

-3.5

14% 9/65

-4.5

8% 5/65

Gracjan Kesik

-1.5

54% 35/65

-2.5

28% 18/65

-3.5

26% 17/65

-4.5

14% 9/65

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Attack S2 and keep S3 live

S1 losers answer in S2 at 40% when Milosz Piecowski takes the opener and 60% when Gracjan Kesik does. With 88% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.

Strong

Match total

Over 74.5 is playable pre-match

Over hits 80% on the loaded sample with recent 80% and the line sitting 12.0 pts below the matchup average. Trend 0%.

Playable

Side / ML

Pass the side pre-match

Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.

Pass

Live trigger

If Gracjan Kesik wins S1, look Milosz Piecowski in S2

Milosz Piecowski answers in set 2 60% of the time (6/10) when Gracjan Kesik takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.

Playable

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Milosz Piecowski
Gracjan Kesik

Recent record

11-9
8-12

Win rate

55%
40%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

L3
L4

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

35% / 53% win rate

Milosz Piecowski 6-9 Gracjan Kesik

Current streak

Gracjan Kesik 2

Recent 5 split

Milosz Piecowski / Gracjan Kesik

1-4

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 15-match loaded sample

13% / 87%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

88% / 73%

Risk profile

27% consistency

58 pt range

Avg win margin

Milosz Piecowski / Gracjan Kesik

5.2 / 6.2

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 79.4 total · 80% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 83.1 total · 80% 4+ sets

70% O / 30% U

Last 20

15 matches · avg 86.5 total · 87% 4+ sets

80% O / 20% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Milosz Piecowski

L vs Radoslaw Malinowski

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 11:05 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Kamil Klocek

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 9:55 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Sebastian Baran

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 7:40 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Radoslaw Malinowski

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 6:30 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Alan Wos

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 5:20 PM

0

0 pts

Gracjan Kesik

L vs Bartlomiej Wisniewski

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 10:55 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Miroslaw Piecowski

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 9:45 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Mateusz Zagajewski

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 7:45 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Bartosz Czerwinski

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 6:30 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Aleksander Lilien

TT Elite Series · Jun 12, 5:15 AM

0

0 pts