Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
TT Elite Series
30 meetings · Last meeting Sep 16, 10:00 AM · Last total 85
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 22 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 64% and Under 74.5 36%. Recent results are 65% over and 35% under, with an average total of 78.5 and 83% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
22 loaded meetings out of 30 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
82%
18/22
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
18%
4/22
Set 1 win rate
Grzegorz Felkel10/22
Maksymilian Miastowski12/22
When Grzegorz Felkel Wins S1
S2 Maksymilian Miastowski (Split)
60%6/10
3-0 Grzegorz Felkel (Sweep)
30%3/10
ML Grzegorz Felkel
90%9/10
When Maksymilian Miastowski Wins S1
S2 Grzegorz Felkel (Split)
75%9/12
3-0 Maksymilian Miastowski (Sweep)
8%1/12
ML Maksymilian Miastowski
50%6/12
Post-split ML
Grzegorz Felkel 67%12/18
|Maksymilian Miastowski 33%6/18
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 22 loaded meetings out of 30 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Grzegorz Felkel
32%
7/22 meetings cleared the line
Maksymilian Miastowski
14%
3/22 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Grzegorz Felkel
Average
8.5 pts
Median
7 pts
Maksymilian Miastowski
Average
6.3 pts
Median
6 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 22 loaded meetings out of 30 tracked.
41 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Grzegorz Felkel
20/24 total close-outs
83%
Up 2-0
100% 4/4
Up 2-1
83% 10/12
Tied 2-2
75% 6/8
Maksymilian Miastowski
9/17 total close-outs
53%
Up 2-0
100% 3/3
Up 2-1
67% 4/6
Tied 2-2
25% 2/8
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 22 loaded meetings out of 30 tracked.
92 sets in scope
Set #
Grzegorz Felkel
-1.5
58% 53/92
-2.5
38% 35/92
-3.5
34% 31/92
-4.5
23% 21/92
Maksymilian Miastowski
-1.5
42% 39/92
-2.5
27% 25/92
-3.5
16% 15/92
-4.5
14% 13/92
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Attack S2 and keep S3 live
S1 losers answer in S2 at 60% when Grzegorz Felkel takes the opener and 75% when Maksymilian Miastowski does. With 83% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 64% on the loaded sample with recent 65% and the line sitting 4.0 pts below the matchup average. Trend +1%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Grzegorz Felkel
Series share 70% across 30 tracked · close-out 83%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
If Maksymilian Miastowski wins S1, look Grzegorz Felkel in S2
Grzegorz Felkel answers in set 2 75% of the time (9/12) when Maksymilian Miastowski takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
50% / 23% win rate
Grzegorz Felkel 15-7 Maksymilian Miastowski
Current streak
Grzegorz Felkel 1
Recent 5 split
Grzegorz Felkel / Maksymilian Miastowski
4-1
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 22-match loaded sample
18% / 82%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
83% / 59%
Risk profile
36% consistency
54 pt range
Avg win margin
Grzegorz Felkel / Maksymilian Miastowski
8.5 / 6.3
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 84.6 total · 100% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 81 total · 80% 4+ sets
70% O / 30% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 79.8 total · 85% 4+ sets
65% O / 35% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Josef Braun vs Maksymilian Miastowski
TT Elite Series · 26 meetings
Oct 6, 8:05 AM
Jakub Kosowski vs Grzegorz Felkel
TT Elite Series · 82 meetings
Oct 6, 8:30 AM
Maksymilian Miastowski vs Grzegorz Felkel
TT Elite Series · 30 meetings
Oct 6, 9:40 AM
Grzegorz Felkel vs Adrian Wiecek
TT Elite Series · 66 meetings
Oct 6, 10:25 AM
Maksymilian Miastowski vs Josef Braun
TT Elite Series · 26 meetings
Oct 6, 10:50 AM
Piotr Chodorski vs Maksymilian Miastowski
TT Elite Series · 12 meetings
Oct 6, 11:40 AM
Grzegorz Felkel vs Josef Braun
TT Elite Series · 25 meetings
Oct 6, 12:05 PM
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Grzegorz Felkel
L vs Jakub Kosowski
TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 2:35 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Adrian Wiecek
TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 12:55 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Krystian Kolodziej
TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 11:40 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Petr David
TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 10:00 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Jakub Kuzmicz
TT Elite Series · Oct 5, 9:00 AM
0
0 pts
Maksymilian Miastowski
L vs Adrian Wiecek
TT Elite Series · Oct 6, 5:15 AM
120
-6 pts
L vs Marcin Jadczyk
TT Elite Series · Oct 6, 4:30 AM
69
-7 pts
W vs Jakub Kosowski
TT Elite Series · Oct 6, 3:00 AM
100
+12 pts
W vs Petr David
TT Elite Series · Sep 30, 2:10 PM
91
+5 pts
W vs Jakub Kuzmicz
TT Elite Series · Sep 30, 1:20 PM
92
+12 pts