Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Setka Cup
43 meetings · Last meeting Oct 2, 10:20 AM · Last total 75
Quick read
Under 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 24 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 42% and Under 74.5 58%. Recent results are 45% over and 55% under, with an average total of 70.5 and 77% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
24 loaded meetings out of 43 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
71%
17/24
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
29%
7/24
Set 1 win rate
Ivan Nitchenko12/24
Evhenii Hrytsenko12/24
When Ivan Nitchenko Wins S1
S2 Evhenii Hrytsenko (Split)
50%6/12
3-0 Ivan Nitchenko (Sweep)
25%3/12
ML Ivan Nitchenko
67%8/12
When Evhenii Hrytsenko Wins S1
S2 Ivan Nitchenko (Split)
33%4/12
3-0 Evhenii Hrytsenko (Sweep)
33%4/12
ML Evhenii Hrytsenko
75%9/12
Post-split ML
Ivan Nitchenko 47%8/17
|Evhenii Hrytsenko 53%9/17
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 43 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Ivan Nitchenko
29%
7/24 meetings cleared the line
Evhenii Hrytsenko
46%
11/24 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Ivan Nitchenko
Average
7.2 pts
Median
8 pts
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Average
11.8 pts
Median
9 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 43 tracked.
41 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Ivan Nitchenko
16/17 total close-outs
94%
Up 2-0
100% 6/6
Up 2-1
100% 6/6
Tied 2-2
80% 4/5
Evhenii Hrytsenko
18/24 total close-outs
75%
Up 2-0
100% 8/8
Up 2-1
82% 9/11
Tied 2-2
20% 1/5
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 43 tracked.
94 sets in scope
Set #
Ivan Nitchenko
-1.5
45% 42/94
-2.5
30% 28/94
-3.5
24% 23/94
-4.5
14% 13/94
Evhenii Hrytsenko
-1.5
54% 51/94
-2.5
43% 40/94
-3.5
34% 32/94
-4.5
23% 22/94
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
S2 is the cleanest set angle
When Ivan Nitchenko wins S1, Evhenii Hrytsenko answers in S2 50% of the time (6/12). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.
Match total
Under 74.5 is playable pre-match
Under hits 58% on the loaded sample with recent 55% and the line sitting 4.0 pts above the matchup average. Trend -3%.
Side / ML
Pass the side pre-match
Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.
Live trigger
If Ivan Nitchenko wins S1, look Evhenii Hrytsenko in S2
Evhenii Hrytsenko answers in set 2 50% of the time (6/12) when Ivan Nitchenko takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
26% / 30% win rate
Ivan Nitchenko 11-13 Evhenii Hrytsenko
Current streak
Evhenii Hrytsenko 1
Recent 5 split
Ivan Nitchenko / Evhenii Hrytsenko
3-2
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 24-match loaded sample
29% / 71%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
77% / 33%
Risk profile
38% consistency
51 pt range
Avg win margin
Ivan Nitchenko / Evhenii Hrytsenko
7.2 / 11.8
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 78.2 total · 80% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 78.3 total · 80% 4+ sets
70% O / 30% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 72 total · 75% 4+ sets
45% O / 55% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Ivan Nitchenko
W vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Setka Cup · Oct 2, 12:20 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Evhenii Hrytsenko
Setka Cup · Oct 2, 10:20 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Yehor Riadynskyi
Setka Cup · Oct 2, 9:20 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Maksym Mrykh
Setka Cup · Oct 2, 8:20 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Andrii Derevianko
Setka Cup · Oct 2, 6:50 AM
0
0 pts
Evhenii Hrytsenko
W vs Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Setka Cup · Oct 5, 4:40 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Yehor Riadynskyi
Setka Cup · Oct 5, 3:10 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Andrii Derevianko
Setka Cup · Oct 5, 1:40 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Setka Cup · Oct 5, 12:10 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Volodymir Maksuta
Setka Cup · Oct 5, 10:40 AM
0
0 pts