Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
TT Elite Series
27 meetings · Last meeting Apr 17, 3:55 AM · Last total 74
Quick read
Under 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 24 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 38% and Under 74.5 63%. Recent results are 35% over and 65% under, with an average total of 70.1 and 56% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
24 loaded meetings out of 27 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
54%
13/24
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
46%
11/24
Set 1 win rate
Marcin Balcerzak10/24
Krzysztof Kapik14/24
When Marcin Balcerzak Wins S1
S2 Krzysztof Kapik (Split)
50%5/10
3-0 Marcin Balcerzak (Sweep)
30%3/10
ML Marcin Balcerzak
90%9/10
When Krzysztof Kapik Wins S1
S2 Marcin Balcerzak (Split)
29%4/14
3-0 Krzysztof Kapik (Sweep)
57%8/14
ML Krzysztof Kapik
93%13/14
Post-split ML
Marcin Balcerzak 54%7/13
|Krzysztof Kapik 46%6/13
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 27 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Marcin Balcerzak
29%
7/24 meetings cleared the line
Krzysztof Kapik
29%
7/24 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Marcin Balcerzak
Average
10 pts
Median
9 pts
Krzysztof Kapik
Average
10.7 pts
Median
8.5 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 27 tracked.
38 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Marcin Balcerzak
12/15 total close-outs
80%
Up 2-0
100% 5/5
Up 2-1
80% 4/5
Tied 2-2
60% 3/5
Krzysztof Kapik
17/23 total close-outs
74%
Up 2-0
100% 10/10
Up 2-1
63% 5/8
Tied 2-2
40% 2/5
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 27 tracked.
90 sets in scope
Set #
Marcin Balcerzak
-1.5
42% 38/90
-2.5
28% 25/90
-3.5
24% 22/90
-4.5
18% 16/90
Krzysztof Kapik
-1.5
58% 52/90
-2.5
30% 27/90
-3.5
27% 24/90
-4.5
22% 20/90
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Avoid long set ladders
44% full sweeps and 40% recent sweeps keep short-match finishes live. Better to stay selective than force multi-set paths.
Match total
Under 74.5 is playable pre-match
Under hits 63% on the loaded sample with recent 65% and the line sitting 4.4 pts above the matchup average. Trend +3%.
Side / ML
Pass the side pre-match
Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.
Live trigger
Back Krzysztof Kapik live after an S1 win
Krzysztof Kapik converts 93% of matches after winning set 1 (13/14).
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
37% / 52% win rate
Marcin Balcerzak 10-14 Krzysztof Kapik
Current streak
Krzysztof Kapik 1
Recent 5 split
Marcin Balcerzak / Krzysztof Kapik
3-2
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 24-match loaded sample
46% / 54%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
56% / 67%
Risk profile
29% consistency
66 pt range
Avg win margin
Marcin Balcerzak / Krzysztof Kapik
10 / 10.7
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 66.6 total · 60% 4+ sets
40% O / 60% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 65.2 total · 60% 4+ sets
30% O / 70% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 70.6 total · 55% 4+ sets
35% O / 65% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Marcin Balcerzak
L vs Kacper Petas
TT Elite Series · Jun 26, 6:55 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Josef Braun
TT Elite Series · Jun 26, 5:40 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Karol Wisniewski
TT Elite Series · Jun 26, 4:10 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Krzysztof Wloczko
TT Elite Series · Jun 26, 3:00 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Maciej Nowalinski
TT Elite Series · Jun 25, 2:10 PM
0
0 pts
Krzysztof Kapik
W vs Jakub Kwapis
TT Elite Series · Jun 25, 10:30 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Jakub Witkowski
TT Elite Series · Jun 25, 9:45 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Mateusz Rutkowski
TT Elite Series · Jun 25, 9:00 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Jakub Kwapis
TT Elite Series · Jun 25, 8:30 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Jakub Witkowski
TT Elite Series · Jun 25, 7:15 PM
0
0 pts