Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
TT Elite Series
27 meetings · Last meeting Apr 17, 3:55 AM · Last total 74
Quick read
Under 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 24 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 38% and Under 74.5 63%. Recent results are 35% over and 65% under, with an average total of 70.1 and 56% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
24 loaded meetings out of 27 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
54%
13/24
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
46%
11/24
Set 1 win rate
Krzysztof Kapik14/24
Marcin Balcerzak10/24
When Krzysztof Kapik Wins S1
S2 Marcin Balcerzak (Split)
29%4/14
3-0 Krzysztof Kapik (Sweep)
57%8/14
ML Krzysztof Kapik
93%13/14
When Marcin Balcerzak Wins S1
S2 Krzysztof Kapik (Split)
50%5/10
3-0 Marcin Balcerzak (Sweep)
30%3/10
ML Marcin Balcerzak
90%9/10
Post-split ML
Krzysztof Kapik 46%6/13
|Marcin Balcerzak 54%7/13
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 27 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Krzysztof Kapik
29%
7/24 meetings cleared the line
Marcin Balcerzak
29%
7/24 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Krzysztof Kapik
Average
10.7 pts
Median
8.5 pts
Marcin Balcerzak
Average
10 pts
Median
9 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 27 tracked.
38 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Krzysztof Kapik
17/23 total close-outs
74%
Up 2-0
100% 10/10
Up 2-1
63% 5/8
Tied 2-2
40% 2/5
Marcin Balcerzak
12/15 total close-outs
80%
Up 2-0
100% 5/5
Up 2-1
80% 4/5
Tied 2-2
60% 3/5
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 24 loaded meetings out of 27 tracked.
90 sets in scope
Set #
Krzysztof Kapik
-1.5
58% 52/90
-2.5
30% 27/90
-3.5
27% 24/90
-4.5
22% 20/90
Marcin Balcerzak
-1.5
42% 38/90
-2.5
28% 25/90
-3.5
24% 22/90
-4.5
18% 16/90
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Avoid long set ladders
44% full sweeps and 40% recent sweeps keep short-match finishes live. Better to stay selective than force multi-set paths.
Match total
Under 74.5 is playable pre-match
Under hits 63% on the loaded sample with recent 65% and the line sitting 4.4 pts above the matchup average. Trend +3%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Krzysztof Kapik
Series share 56% across 27 tracked · recent form 65% win rate. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
Back Krzysztof Kapik live after an S1 win
Krzysztof Kapik converts 93% of matches after winning set 1 (13/14).
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
52% / 37% win rate
Krzysztof Kapik 14-10 Marcin Balcerzak
Current streak
Krzysztof Kapik 1
Recent 5 split
Krzysztof Kapik / Marcin Balcerzak
2-3
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 24-match loaded sample
46% / 54%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
56% / 67%
Risk profile
29% consistency
66 pt range
Avg win margin
Krzysztof Kapik / Marcin Balcerzak
10.7 / 10
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 66.6 total · 60% 4+ sets
40% O / 60% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 65.2 total · 60% 4+ sets
30% O / 70% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 70.6 total · 55% 4+ sets
35% O / 65% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Krzysztof Kapik
W vs Michal Olbrycht
TT Elite Series · May 8, 1:05 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Jakub Zochniak
TT Elite Series · May 8, 12:15 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Mateusz Rutkowski
TT Elite Series · May 7, 11:25 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Michal Olbrycht
TT Elite Series · May 7, 10:40 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Jakub Zochniak
TT Elite Series · May 7, 9:50 PM
0
0 pts
Marcin Balcerzak
W vs Adrian Spychala
TT Elite Series · May 8, 10:40 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Jakub Kuzmicz
TT Elite Series · May 8, 9:55 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Lukasz Jarocki
TT Elite Series · May 8, 8:45 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Krzysztof Wloczko
TT Elite Series · May 8, 7:35 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Jakub Kuzmicz
TT Elite Series · May 8, 6:10 AM
0
0 pts