Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

TT Elite Series

40 meetings · Last meeting May 5, 8:25 AM · Last total 81

TimeApr 15, 6:40 AM
Meetings40

Quick read

This line needs texture more than raw history

Across 37 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 51% and Under 74.5 49%. Recent results are 50% over and 50% under, with an average total of 74.6 and 70% of meetings reaching 4+ sets. The hit-rate split is still tight, so match shape matters more than the headline percentage.

Low sweep 30%S2 is the cleanest set angle
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 37 totals
RecentO 50% / U 50%
Texture4+ 70% · Sweep 30%
TrendOver 51% · -1%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

37 loaded meetings out of 40 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

70%

26/37

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

30%

11/37

Set 1 win rate

43%
57%

Martin Olejnik16/37

Grzegorz Felkel21/37

When Martin Olejnik Wins S1

S2 Grzegorz Felkel (Split)

63%10/16

3-0 Martin Olejnik (Sweep)

19%3/16

ML Martin Olejnik

56%9/16

When Grzegorz Felkel Wins S1

S2 Martin Olejnik (Split)

38%8/21

3-0 Grzegorz Felkel (Sweep)

38%8/21

ML Grzegorz Felkel

95%20/21

Post-split ML

Martin Olejnik 27%7/26

|

Grzegorz Felkel 73%19/26

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 37 loaded meetings out of 40 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Martin Olejnik

11%

4/37 meetings cleared the line

Grzegorz Felkel

49%

18/37 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Martin Olejnik

Average

8.4 pts

Median

6.5 pts

Grzegorz Felkel

Average

9.6 pts

Median

10 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 37 loaded meetings out of 40 tracked.

65 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Martin Olejnik

12/24 total close-outs

50%

Up 2-0

83% 5/6

Up 2-1

63% 5/8

Tied 2-2

20% 2/10

Grzegorz Felkel

37/41 total close-outs

90%

Up 2-0

100% 13/13

Up 2-1

89% 16/18

Tied 2-2

80% 8/10

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 37 loaded meetings out of 40 tracked.

147 sets in scope

Set #

Martin Olejnik

-1.5

39% 57/147

-2.5

22% 33/147

-3.5

15% 22/147

-4.5

9% 13/147

Grzegorz Felkel

-1.5

61% 90/147

-2.5

44% 64/147

-3.5

37% 54/147

-4.5

24% 36/147

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

S2 is the cleanest set angle

When Martin Olejnik wins S1, Grzegorz Felkel answers in S2 63% of the time (10/16). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.

Playable

Match total

Pass the pre-match total

At 74.5, the history is basically balanced. Better to wait for live tempo or set depth than force a flat pre-match total.

Pass

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Grzegorz Felkel

Series share 75% across 40 tracked · close-out 90%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Playable

Live trigger

If Martin Olejnik wins S1, look Grzegorz Felkel in S2

Grzegorz Felkel answers in set 2 63% of the time (10/16) when Martin Olejnik takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.

Playable

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Martin Olejnik
Grzegorz Felkel

Recent record

10-10
9-11

Win rate

50%
45%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

W2
W1

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

25% / 68% win rate

Martin Olejnik 10-27 Grzegorz Felkel

Current streak

Grzegorz Felkel 2

Recent 5 split

Martin Olejnik / Grzegorz Felkel

1-4

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 37-match loaded sample

30% / 70%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

70% / 54%

Risk profile

32% consistency

65 pt range

Avg win margin

Martin Olejnik / Grzegorz Felkel

8.4 / 9.6

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 71.6 total · 80% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 76.2 total · 90% 4+ sets

50% O / 50% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 74.7 total · 70% 4+ sets

50% O / 50% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Martin Olejnik

W vs Patryk Lewandowski

TT Elite Series · May 8, 1:15 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Kacper Petas

TT Elite Series · May 8, 11:35 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Jakub Folwarski

TT Elite Series · May 8, 10:45 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Antoni Witkowski

TT Elite Series · May 8, 8:35 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Kacper Petas

TT Elite Series · May 8, 7:25 AM

0

0 pts

Grzegorz Felkel

W vs Dawid Michna

TT Elite Series · May 10, 12:50 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Jakub Kosowski

TT Elite Series · May 10, 11:10 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Kacper Petas

TT Elite Series · May 10, 10:00 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Kacper Petas

TT Elite Series · May 10, 9:10 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Grzegorz Adamiak

TT Elite Series · May 10, 7:40 AM

0

0 pts

Martin Olejnik vs Grzegorz Felkel | Table Tennis Splits