Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

TT Elite Series

39 meetings · Last meeting May 19, 10:00 AM · Last total 81

TimeHistory only
Meetings39

Quick read

Over 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 31 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 55% and Under 74.5 45%. Recent results are 50% over and 50% under, with an average total of 75.5 and 69% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Over 55%Set market is playable, not automatic
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 31 totals
RecentO 50% / U 50%
Texture4+ 69% · Sweep 31%
TrendOver 55% · -5%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

31 loaded meetings out of 39 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

71%

22/31

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

29%

9/31

Set 1 win rate

45%
55%

Martin Olejnik14/31

Grzegorz Felkel17/31

When Martin Olejnik Wins S1

S2 Grzegorz Felkel (Split)

57%8/14

3-0 Martin Olejnik (Sweep)

21%3/14

ML Martin Olejnik

57%8/14

When Grzegorz Felkel Wins S1

S2 Martin Olejnik (Split)

41%7/17

3-0 Grzegorz Felkel (Sweep)

35%6/17

ML Grzegorz Felkel

94%16/17

Post-split ML

Martin Olejnik 27%6/22

|

Grzegorz Felkel 73%16/22

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 31 loaded meetings out of 39 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Martin Olejnik

13%

4/31 meetings cleared the line

Grzegorz Felkel

48%

15/31 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Martin Olejnik

Average

8.7 pts

Median

7 pts

Grzegorz Felkel

Average

9.9 pts

Median

10 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 31 loaded meetings out of 39 tracked.

56 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Martin Olejnik

11/22 total close-outs

50%

Up 2-0

83% 5/6

Up 2-1

57% 4/7

Tied 2-2

22% 2/9

Grzegorz Felkel

30/34 total close-outs

88%

Up 2-0

100% 10/10

Up 2-1

87% 13/15

Tied 2-2

78% 7/9

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 31 loaded meetings out of 39 tracked.

124 sets in scope

Set #

Martin Olejnik

-1.5

40% 50/124

-2.5

23% 28/124

-3.5

15% 19/124

-4.5

9% 11/124

Grzegorz Felkel

-1.5

60% 74/124

-2.5

43% 53/124

-3.5

37% 46/124

-4.5

25% 31/124

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Set market is playable, not automatic

31% splits keep second-set turns available, but 31% sweeps still cap the ceiling. Treat this as a selective set angle, not a blind ladder.

Pass

Match total

Small over lean, not a must-play

Over leads 55% on Robust sample, but the gap is still narrow enough that live pace matters more than the raw board number.

Pass

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Grzegorz Felkel

Series share 69% across 39 tracked · close-out 88%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Playable

Live trigger

Back Grzegorz Felkel live after an S1 win

Grzegorz Felkel converts 94% of matches after winning set 1 (16/17).

Strong

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Martin Olejnik
Grzegorz Felkel

Recent record

12-8
13-7

Win rate

60%
65%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

L1
W8

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

23% / 56% win rate

Martin Olejnik 9-22 Grzegorz Felkel

Current streak

Grzegorz Felkel 2

Recent 5 split

Martin Olejnik / Grzegorz Felkel

1-4

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 31-match loaded sample

29% / 71%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

69% / 61%

Risk profile

29% consistency

65 pt range

Avg win margin

Martin Olejnik / Grzegorz Felkel

8.7 / 9.9

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 71.6 total · 80% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 76.2 total · 90% 4+ sets

50% O / 50% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 74.7 total · 70% 4+ sets

50% O / 50% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Martin Olejnik

L vs Dawid Michna

TT Elite Series · Jun 18, 12:55 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Patrik Klos

TT Elite Series · Jun 18, 11:40 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Jan Zandecki

TT Elite Series · Jun 18, 10:00 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Krzysztof Wloczko

TT Elite Series · Jun 18, 9:00 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Dawid Michna

TT Elite Series · Jun 18, 8:05 AM

0

0 pts

Grzegorz Felkel

W vs Marcin Jadczyk

TT Elite Series · Jun 22, 10:25 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Miroslav Sklensky

TT Elite Series · Jun 22, 9:00 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Kacper Glazowski

TT Elite Series · Jun 22, 7:45 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Miroslav Sklensky

TT Elite Series · Jun 22, 6:30 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Marcin Balcerzak

TT Elite Series · Jun 22, 5:15 AM

0

0 pts