Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Setka Cup

66 meetings · Last meeting Apr 29, 1:03 PM · Last total 100

TimeOct 6, 7:45 AM
Meetings66

Quick read

Over 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 57 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 76% and Under 74.5 24%. Recent results are 80% over and 20% under, with an average total of 82.3 and 86% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Low sweep 14%Attack S2 and keep S3 live
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 57 totals
RecentO 80% / U 20%
Texture4+ 86% · Sweep 14%
TrendOver 76% · +4%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

41 loaded meetings out of 66 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

90%

37/41

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

10%

4/41

Set 1 win rate

51%
49%

Michal Makara21/41

Tomas Liska20/41

When Michal Makara Wins S1

S2 Tomas Liska (Split)

62%13/21

3-0 Michal Makara (Sweep)

5%1/21

ML Michal Makara

71%15/21

When Tomas Liska Wins S1

S2 Michal Makara (Split)

60%12/20

3-0 Tomas Liska (Sweep)

15%3/20

ML Tomas Liska

70%14/20

Post-split ML

Michal Makara 54%20/37

|

Tomas Liska 46%17/37

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 41 loaded meetings out of 66 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Michal Makara

7%

3/41 meetings cleared the line

Tomas Liska

22%

9/41 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Michal Makara

Average

5 pts

Median

5 pts

Tomas Liska

Average

7.2 pts

Median

6.5 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 41 loaded meetings out of 66 tracked.

95 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Michal Makara

35/48 total close-outs

73%

Up 2-0

100% 8/8

Up 2-1

79% 15/19

Tied 2-2

57% 12/21

Tomas Liska

29/47 total close-outs

62%

Up 2-0

88% 7/8

Up 2-1

72% 13/18

Tied 2-2

43% 9/21

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 41 loaded meetings out of 66 tracked.

181 sets in scope

Set #

Michal Makara

-1.5

49% 88/181

-2.5

28% 51/181

-3.5

23% 42/181

-4.5

14% 26/181

Tomas Liska

-1.5

50% 90/181

-2.5

32% 58/181

-3.5

28% 50/181

-4.5

17% 30/181

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Attack S2 and keep S3 live

S1 losers answer in S2 at 62% when Michal Makara takes the opener and 60% when Tomas Liska does. With 86% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.

Strong

Match total

Over 74.5 is playable pre-match

Over hits 76% on the loaded sample with recent 80% and the line sitting 7.8 pts below the matchup average. Trend +4%.

Playable

Side / ML

Pass the side pre-match

Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.

Pass

Live trigger

If Michal Makara wins S1, look Tomas Liska in S2

Tomas Liska answers in set 2 62% of the time (13/21) when Michal Makara takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.

Playable

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Michal Makara
Tomas Liska

Recent record

9-11
10-10

Win rate

45%
50%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

L3
L1

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

32% / 30% win rate

Michal Makara 21-20 Tomas Liska

Current streak

Tomas Liska 1

Recent 5 split

Michal Makara / Tomas Liska

3-2

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 41-match loaded sample

10% / 90%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

86% / 66%

Risk profile

32% consistency

55 pt range

Avg win margin

Michal Makara / Tomas Liska

5 / 7.2

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 87 total · 100% 4+ sets

100% O / 0% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 92.1 total · 100% 4+ sets

100% O / 0% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 84.5 total · 85% 4+ sets

80% O / 20% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Michal Makara

L vs Lukas Rulc

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 12:13 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Tomas Liska

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 11:45 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Ondrej Kaderabek

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 10:15 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Lukas Rulc

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 9:45 AM

0

0 pts

W vs David Gasparovic

Setka Cup · Oct 4, 4:44 PM

0

0 pts

Tomas Liska

L vs Ondrej Kaderabek

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 12:44 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Michal Makara

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 11:45 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Lukas Rulc

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 10:45 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Ondrej Kaderabek

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 9:15 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Stepan Rejent

Setka Cup · Oct 4, 8:19 PM

0

0 pts

Michal Makara vs Tomas Liska | Table Tennis Splits