Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 13 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 77% and Under 74.5 23%. Recent results are 77% over and 23% under, with an average total of 88.5 and 75% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
13 loaded meetings out of 24 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
85%
11/13
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
15%
2/13
Set 1 win rate
Michal Moravec5/13
Dalibor Velky Jr8/13
When Michal Moravec Wins S1
S2 Dalibor Velky Jr (Split)
60%3/5
3-0 Michal Moravec (Sweep)
20%1/5
ML Michal Moravec
40%2/5
When Dalibor Velky Jr Wins S1
S2 Michal Moravec (Split)
38%3/8
3-0 Dalibor Velky Jr (Sweep)
13%1/8
ML Dalibor Velky Jr
50%4/8
Post-split ML
Michal Moravec 45%5/11
|Dalibor Velky Jr 55%6/11
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 24 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Michal Moravec
8%
1/13 meetings cleared the line
Dalibor Velky Jr
31%
4/13 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Michal Moravec
Average
5.5 pts
Median
5.5 pts
Dalibor Velky Jr
Average
5.7 pts
Median
8 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 24 tracked.
32 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Michal Moravec
7/11 total close-outs
64%
Up 2-0
100% 2/2
Up 2-1
50% 1/2
Tied 2-2
57% 4/7
Dalibor Velky Jr
11/21 total close-outs
52%
Up 2-0
60% 3/5
Up 2-1
56% 5/9
Tied 2-2
43% 3/7
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 24 tracked.
57 sets in scope
Set #
Michal Moravec
-1.5
47% 27/57
-2.5
19% 11/57
-3.5
14% 8/57
-4.5
11% 6/57
Dalibor Velky Jr
-1.5
53% 30/57
-2.5
28% 16/57
-3.5
19% 11/57
-4.5
11% 6/57
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
S2 is the cleanest set angle
When Michal Moravec wins S1, Dalibor Velky Jr answers in S2 60% of the time (3/5). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 77% on the loaded sample with recent 77% and the line sitting 14.0 pts below the matchup average. Trend 0%.
Side / ML
Pass the side pre-match
Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.
Live trigger
If Michal Moravec wins S1, look Dalibor Velky Jr in S2
Dalibor Velky Jr answers in set 2 60% of the time (3/5) when Michal Moravec takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
25% / 29% win rate
Michal Moravec 6-7 Dalibor Velky Jr
Current streak
Dalibor Velky Jr 1
Recent 5 split
Michal Moravec / Dalibor Velky Jr
3-2
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 13-match loaded sample
15% / 85%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
75% / 85%
Risk profile
0% consistency
53 pt range
Avg win margin
Michal Moravec / Dalibor Velky Jr
5.5 / 5.7
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 90.6 total · 80% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 92.2 total · 90% 4+ sets
90% O / 10% U
Last 20
13 matches · avg 88.5 total · 85% 4+ sets
77% O / 23% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Michal Moravec
W vs Jan Skvrna
TT Cup · Oct 5, 12:45 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Tomas Krenek
TT Cup · Oct 5, 12:15 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Jan Skvrna
TT Cup · Oct 5, 10:45 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Radek Benes
TT Cup · Oct 5, 10:15 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Michal Raska
TT Cup · Oct 3, 5:20 PM
0
0 pts
Dalibor Velky Jr
L vs Radek Benes
TT Cup · Oct 4, 5:15 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Radovan Solle
TT Cup · Oct 4, 4:10 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Lukas Dzida
TT Cup · Oct 4, 2:40 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Radek Benes
TT Cup · Oct 4, 2:10 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Jan Skvrna
TT Cup · Oct 3, 1:15 PM
0
0 pts