Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Czech Liga Pro
16 meetings · Last meeting May 13, 6:00 AM · Last total 97
Quick read
Under 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 13 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 31% and Under 74.5 69%. Recent results are 31% over and 69% under, with an average total of 72.3 and 44% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
13 loaded meetings out of 16 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
54%
7/13
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
46%
6/13
Set 1 win rate
Milan Smesny5/13
Jiri Grohsgott8/13
When Milan Smesny Wins S1
S2 Jiri Grohsgott (Split)
0%0/5
3-0 Milan Smesny (Sweep)
40%2/5
ML Milan Smesny
60%3/5
When Jiri Grohsgott Wins S1
S2 Milan Smesny (Split)
38%3/8
3-0 Jiri Grohsgott (Sweep)
50%4/8
ML Jiri Grohsgott
75%6/8
Post-split ML
Milan Smesny 43%3/7
|Jiri Grohsgott 57%4/7
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 16 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Milan Smesny
15%
2/13 meetings cleared the line
Jiri Grohsgott
31%
4/13 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Milan Smesny
Average
8 pts
Median
5 pts
Jiri Grohsgott
Average
9 pts
Median
8 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 16 tracked.
25 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Milan Smesny
7/13 total close-outs
54%
Up 2-0
60% 3/5
Up 2-1
50% 2/4
Tied 2-2
50% 2/4
Jiri Grohsgott
9/12 total close-outs
75%
Up 2-0
100% 5/5
Up 2-1
67% 2/3
Tied 2-2
50% 2/4
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 16 tracked.
50 sets in scope
Set #
Milan Smesny
-1.5
42% 21/50
-2.5
30% 15/50
-3.5
22% 11/50
-4.5
14% 7/50
Jiri Grohsgott
-1.5
58% 29/50
-2.5
42% 21/50
-3.5
34% 17/50
-4.5
22% 11/50
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Avoid long set ladders
56% full sweeps and 56% recent sweeps keep short-match finishes live. Better to stay selective than force multi-set paths.
Match total
Under 74.5 is playable pre-match
Under hits 69% on the loaded sample with recent 69% and the line sitting 2.2 pts above the matchup average. Trend 0%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Jiri Grohsgott
Series share 69% across 16 tracked · close-out 75% · 5-match streak. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
Back Jiri Grohsgott live after an S1 win
Jiri Grohsgott converts 75% of matches after winning set 1 (6/8).
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
31% / 50% win rate
Milan Smesny 5-8 Jiri Grohsgott
Current streak
Jiri Grohsgott 5
Recent 5 split
Milan Smesny / Jiri Grohsgott
0-5
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 13-match loaded sample
46% / 54%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
44% / 54%
Risk profile
31% consistency
50 pt range
Avg win margin
Milan Smesny / Jiri Grohsgott
8 / 9
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 75 total · 40% 4+ sets
40% O / 60% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 71.5 total · 50% 4+ sets
30% O / 70% U
Last 20
13 matches · avg 72.3 total · 54% 4+ sets
31% O / 69% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Milan Smesny
L vs Ludek Madle
Czech Liga Pro · Sep 23, 9:00 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Ludek Madle
Czech Liga Pro · Sep 23, 8:30 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Tomas Kucera
Czech Liga Pro · Sep 23, 7:00 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Lubos Forman
Czech Liga Pro · Sep 23, 6:00 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Ladislav Novotny
Czech Liga Pro · Sep 21, 1:30 PM
0
0 pts
Jiri Grohsgott
W vs Michal Syroha
Czech Liga Pro · Oct 5, 3:00 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Jaromir Cernik
Czech Liga Pro · Oct 5, 2:00 AM
0
0 pts
L vs David Mutl
Czech Liga Pro · Oct 5, 12:30 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Stanislav Mazanek
Czech Liga Pro · Oct 4, 11:00 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Michal Syroha
Czech Liga Pro · Oct 4, 10:00 PM
0
0 pts