Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Setka Cup

186 meetings · Last meeting May 4, 5:04 PM · Last total 73

TimeOct 6, 6:05 AM
Meetings186

Quick read

Under 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 175 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 33% and Under 74.5 67%. Recent results are 30% over and 70% under, with an average total of 72.8 and 67% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Under 67%Set market is playable, not automatic
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 175 totals
RecentO 30% / U 70%
Texture4+ 67% · Sweep 33%
TrendUnder 67% · -3%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

39 loaded meetings out of 186 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

59%

23/39

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

41%

16/39

Set 1 win rate

62%
38%

Nazar Danyliuk24/39

Anton Molochko15/39

When Nazar Danyliuk Wins S1

S2 Anton Molochko (Split)

42%10/24

3-0 Nazar Danyliuk (Sweep)

42%10/24

ML Nazar Danyliuk

75%18/24

When Anton Molochko Wins S1

S2 Nazar Danyliuk (Split)

40%6/15

3-0 Anton Molochko (Sweep)

40%6/15

ML Anton Molochko

80%12/15

Post-split ML

Nazar Danyliuk 48%11/23

|

Anton Molochko 52%12/23

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 39 loaded meetings out of 186 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Nazar Danyliuk

44%

17/39 meetings cleared the line

Anton Molochko

33%

13/39 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Nazar Danyliuk

Average

9.7 pts

Median

10 pts

Anton Molochko

Average

10.3 pts

Median

9.5 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 39 loaded meetings out of 186 tracked.

66 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Nazar Danyliuk

25/36 total close-outs

69%

Up 2-0

93% 13/14

Up 2-1

83% 10/12

Tied 2-2

20% 2/10

Anton Molochko

26/30 total close-outs

87%

Up 2-0

89% 8/9

Up 2-1

91% 10/11

Tied 2-2

80% 8/10

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 39 loaded meetings out of 186 tracked.

150 sets in scope

Set #

Nazar Danyliuk

-1.5

55% 83/150

-2.5

37% 55/150

-3.5

27% 41/150

-4.5

18% 27/150

Anton Molochko

-1.5

45% 67/150

-2.5

31% 47/150

-3.5

22% 33/150

-4.5

21% 31/150

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Set market is playable, not automatic

28% splits keep second-set turns available, but 33% sweeps still cap the ceiling. Treat this as a selective set angle, not a blind ladder.

Pass

Match total

Under 74.5 is playable pre-match

Under hits 67% on the loaded sample with recent 70% and the line sitting 1.7 pts above the matchup average. Trend +3%.

Caution

Side / ML

Pass the side pre-match

Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.

Pass

Live trigger

Back Anton Molochko live after an S1 win

Anton Molochko converts 80% of matches after winning set 1 (12/15).

Strong

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Nazar Danyliuk
Anton Molochko

Recent record

16-4
10-10

Win rate

80%
50%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

W7
W2

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

11% / 10% win rate

Nazar Danyliuk 21-18 Anton Molochko

Current streak

Anton Molochko 1

Recent 5 split

Nazar Danyliuk / Anton Molochko

3-2

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 39-match loaded sample

41% / 59%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

67% / 46%

Risk profile

26% consistency

60 pt range

Avg win margin

Nazar Danyliuk / Anton Molochko

9.7 / 10.3

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 65.8 total · 60% 4+ sets

0% O / 100% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 69.6 total · 70% 4+ sets

10% O / 90% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 71 total · 70% 4+ sets

30% O / 70% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Nazar Danyliuk

W vs Andrii Zeniuk

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 7:05 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Vasily Verbyany

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 5:35 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Anton Molochko

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 3:35 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Dmytro Zeniuk

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 1:35 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Bohdan Kohut

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 12:35 PM

0

0 pts

Anton Molochko

W vs Vasily Verbyany

Setka Cup · Oct 6, 5:05 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Vasily Verbyany

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 6:35 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Dmytro Zeniuk

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 4:35 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Nazar Danyliuk

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 3:35 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Bohdan Kohut

Setka Cup · Oct 5, 2:35 PM

0

0 pts

Nazar Danyliuk vs Anton Molochko | Table Tennis Splits