Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Setka Cup

49 meetings · Last meeting Apr 10, 5:35 AM · Last total 53

TimeApr 13, 12:30 PM
Meetings49

Quick read

Under 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 27 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 44% and Under 74.5 56%. Recent results are 50% over and 50% under, with an average total of 73.5 and 65% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

High sweep 35%Avoid long set ladders
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 27 totals
RecentO 50% / U 50%
Texture4+ 65% · Sweep 35%
TrendUnder 56% · +6%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

27 loaded meetings out of 49 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

63%

17/27

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

37%

10/27

Set 1 win rate

52%
48%

Nazar Petukh14/27

Oleksandr Shkurupii13/27

When Nazar Petukh Wins S1

S2 Oleksandr Shkurupii (Split)

50%7/14

3-0 Nazar Petukh (Sweep)

36%5/14

ML Nazar Petukh

64%9/14

When Oleksandr Shkurupii Wins S1

S2 Nazar Petukh (Split)

38%5/13

3-0 Oleksandr Shkurupii (Sweep)

38%5/13

ML Oleksandr Shkurupii

77%10/13

Post-split ML

Nazar Petukh 41%7/17

|

Oleksandr Shkurupii 59%10/17

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 27 loaded meetings out of 49 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Nazar Petukh

26%

7/27 meetings cleared the line

Oleksandr Shkurupii

26%

7/27 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Nazar Petukh

Average

7.8 pts

Median

8.5 pts

Oleksandr Shkurupii

Average

8.3 pts

Median

7 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 27 loaded meetings out of 49 tracked.

44 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Nazar Petukh

14/20 total close-outs

70%

Up 2-0

86% 6/7

Up 2-1

86% 6/7

Tied 2-2

33% 2/6

Oleksandr Shkurupii

21/24 total close-outs

88%

Up 2-0

100% 8/8

Up 2-1

90% 9/10

Tied 2-2

67% 4/6

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 27 loaded meetings out of 49 tracked.

104 sets in scope

Set #

Nazar Petukh

-1.5

48% 50/104

-2.5

29% 30/104

-3.5

20% 21/104

-4.5

11% 11/104

Oleksandr Shkurupii

-1.5

52% 54/104

-2.5

29% 30/104

-3.5

25% 26/104

-4.5

16% 17/104

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Avoid long set ladders

35% full sweeps and 50% recent sweeps keep short-match finishes live. Better to stay selective than force multi-set paths.

Caution

Match total

Small under lean, not a must-play

Under leads 56% on Robust sample, but the gap is still narrow enough that live pace matters more than the raw board number.

Pass

Side / ML

Pass the side pre-match

Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.

Pass

Live trigger

Back Oleksandr Shkurupii live after an S1 win

Oleksandr Shkurupii converts 77% of matches after winning set 1 (10/13).

Strong

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Nazar Petukh
Oleksandr Shkurupii

Recent record

10-10
7-13

Win rate

50%
35%

Avg total

67.6
71.4

Avg margin

-0.6
-2.8

Current streak

L1
L3

Over 74.5

35%
40%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

24% / 31% win rate

Nazar Petukh 12-15 Oleksandr Shkurupii

Current streak

Nazar Petukh 1

Recent 5 split

Nazar Petukh / Oleksandr Shkurupii

4-1

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 27-match loaded sample

37% / 63%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

65% / 59%

Risk profile

26% consistency

61 pt range

Avg win margin

Nazar Petukh / Oleksandr Shkurupii

7.8 / 8.3

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 64 total · 40% 4+ sets

20% O / 80% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 69.6 total · 50% 4+ sets

40% O / 60% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 73.8 total · 65% 4+ sets

50% O / 50% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Nazar Petukh

L vs Mykyta Zavada

Setka Cup · Apr 14, 12:00 PM

76

-8 pts

W vs Anton Tur

Setka Cup · Apr 13, 4:58 PM

71

+7 pts

L vs Mykyta Zavada

Setka Cup · Apr 13, 3:30 PM

74

-6 pts

W vs Anton Tur

Setka Cup · Apr 13, 2:30 PM

84

+4 pts

L vs Oleksandr Zhurba

Setka Cup · Apr 13, 1:30 PM

51

-15 pts

Oleksandr Shkurupii

L vs Anton Tur

Setka Cup · Apr 13, 4:00 PM

82

-8 pts

L vs Oleksandr Zhurba

Setka Cup · Apr 13, 3:00 PM

70

-10 pts

L vs Mykyta Zavada

Setka Cup · Apr 13, 2:00 PM

58

-14 pts

W vs Alexander Tkachenko

Setka Cup · Apr 10, 11:05 AM

56

+10 pts

L vs Dmytro Neborak

Setka Cup · Apr 10, 10:05 AM

91

-7 pts