Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Setka Cup

37 meetings · Last meeting Apr 14, 6:35 AM · Last total 99

TimeApr 14, 6:35 AM
Meetings37

Quick read

Under 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 16 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 31% and Under 74.5 69%. Recent results are 31% over and 69% under, with an average total of 70.1 and 73% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Low sweep 27%S3 stays live in this profile
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 16 totals
RecentO 31% / U 69%
Texture4+ 73% · Sweep 27%
TrendUnder 69% · 0%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

16 loaded meetings out of 37 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

69%

11/16

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

31%

5/16

Set 1 win rate

44%
56%

Oleh Ponomarenko7/16

Sergey Osipov9/16

When Oleh Ponomarenko Wins S1

S2 Sergey Osipov (Split)

14%1/7

3-0 Oleh Ponomarenko (Sweep)

14%1/7

ML Oleh Ponomarenko

100%7/7

When Sergey Osipov Wins S1

S2 Oleh Ponomarenko (Split)

11%1/9

3-0 Sergey Osipov (Sweep)

44%4/9

ML Sergey Osipov

78%7/9

Post-split ML

Oleh Ponomarenko 73%8/11

|

Sergey Osipov 27%3/11

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 16 loaded meetings out of 37 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Oleh Ponomarenko

19%

3/16 meetings cleared the line

Sergey Osipov

38%

6/16 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Oleh Ponomarenko

Average

8.1 pts

Median

5 pts

Sergey Osipov

Average

12.1 pts

Median

12 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 16 loaded meetings out of 37 tracked.

31 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Oleh Ponomarenko

15/16 total close-outs

94%

Up 2-0

100% 6/6

Up 2-1

100% 7/7

Tied 2-2

67% 2/3

Sergey Osipov

11/15 total close-outs

73%

Up 2-0

88% 7/8

Up 2-1

75% 3/4

Tied 2-2

33% 1/3

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 16 loaded meetings out of 37 tracked.

62 sets in scope

Set #

Oleh Ponomarenko

-1.5

48% 30/62

-2.5

34% 21/62

-3.5

29% 18/62

-4.5

19% 12/62

Sergey Osipov

-1.5

50% 31/62

-2.5

37% 23/62

-3.5

27% 17/62

-4.5

24% 15/62

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

S3 stays live in this profile

27% sweeps with 24% splits and 73% 4+ sets point more toward middle-set markets than a quick 3-0 finish.

Strong

Match total

Under 74.5 is playable pre-match

Under hits 69% on the loaded sample with recent 69% and the line sitting 4.4 pts above the matchup average. Trend 0%.

Caution

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Oleh Ponomarenko

Series share 62% across 37 tracked · close-out 94%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Playable

Live trigger

Back Oleh Ponomarenko live after an S1 win

Oleh Ponomarenko converts 100% of matches after winning set 1 (7/7).

Strong

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Oleh Ponomarenko
Sergey Osipov

Recent record

12-8
11-9

Win rate

60%
55%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

W2
W7

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

24% / 19% win rate

Oleh Ponomarenko 9-7 Sergey Osipov

Current streak

Oleh Ponomarenko 1

Recent 5 split

Oleh Ponomarenko / Sergey Osipov

2-3

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 16-match loaded sample

31% / 69%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

73% / 44%

Risk profile

50% consistency

52 pt range

Avg win margin

Oleh Ponomarenko / Sergey Osipov

8.1 / 12.1

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 80.8 total · 80% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 71.7 total · 70% 4+ sets

40% O / 60% U

Last 20

16 matches · avg 70.1 total · 69% 4+ sets

31% O / 69% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Oleh Ponomarenko

W vs Kostiantyn Tsoi

Setka Cup · Apr 18, 9:35 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Dmytro Kunchurov

Setka Cup · Apr 18, 8:35 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Oleh Stopin

Setka Cup · Apr 18, 7:35 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Sergey Osipov

Setka Cup · Apr 18, 6:05 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Mykhailo Mykhailenko

Setka Cup · Apr 16, 11:35 AM

0

0 pts

Sergey Osipov

W vs Oleh Stopin

Setka Cup · Apr 18, 10:05 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Kostiantyn Tsoi

Setka Cup · Apr 18, 8:05 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Maksym Tkalich

Setka Cup · Apr 18, 7:05 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Oleh Ponomarenko

Setka Cup · Apr 18, 6:05 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Stanislav Kuzko

Setka Cup · Apr 14, 10:25 AM

0

0 pts