Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Setka Cup
31 meetings · Last meeting May 22, 1:15 AM · Last total 58
Quick read
Under 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 15 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 33% and Under 74.5 67%. Recent results are 33% over and 67% under, with an average total of 72.4 and 68% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
15 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
60%
9/15
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
40%
6/15
Set 1 win rate
Oleksandr Storozhenko8/15
Yaroslav Tebenko7/15
When Oleksandr Storozhenko Wins S1
S2 Yaroslav Tebenko (Split)
38%3/8
3-0 Oleksandr Storozhenko (Sweep)
50%4/8
ML Oleksandr Storozhenko
75%6/8
When Yaroslav Tebenko Wins S1
S2 Oleksandr Storozhenko (Split)
29%2/7
3-0 Yaroslav Tebenko (Sweep)
29%2/7
ML Yaroslav Tebenko
57%4/7
Post-split ML
Oleksandr Storozhenko 56%5/9
|Yaroslav Tebenko 44%4/9
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 15 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Oleksandr Storozhenko
47%
7/15 meetings cleared the line
Yaroslav Tebenko
27%
4/15 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Average
10.9 pts
Median
11 pts
Yaroslav Tebenko
Average
8.7 pts
Median
9.5 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 15 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.
27 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Oleksandr Storozhenko
11/13 total close-outs
85%
Up 2-0
100% 5/5
Up 2-1
75% 3/4
Tied 2-2
75% 3/4
Yaroslav Tebenko
7/14 total close-outs
50%
Up 2-0
60% 3/5
Up 2-1
60% 3/5
Tied 2-2
25% 1/4
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 15 loaded meetings out of 31 tracked.
58 sets in scope
Set #
Oleksandr Storozhenko
-1.5
55% 32/58
-2.5
41% 24/58
-3.5
33% 19/58
-4.5
26% 15/58
Yaroslav Tebenko
-1.5
45% 26/58
-2.5
26% 15/58
-3.5
21% 12/58
-4.5
14% 8/58
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Set market is playable, not automatic
29% splits keep second-set turns available, but 32% sweeps still cap the ceiling. Treat this as a selective set angle, not a blind ladder.
Match total
Under 74.5 is playable pre-match
Under hits 67% on the loaded sample with recent 67% and the line sitting 2.1 pts above the matchup average. Trend 0%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Oleksandr Storozhenko
Series share 61% across 31 tracked · recent form 65% win rate · close-out 85%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
Back Oleksandr Storozhenko live after an S1 win
Oleksandr Storozhenko converts 75% of matches after winning set 1 (6/8).
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
29% / 19% win rate
Oleksandr Storozhenko 9-6 Yaroslav Tebenko
Current streak
Oleksandr Storozhenko 1
Recent 5 split
Oleksandr Storozhenko / Yaroslav Tebenko
2-3
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 15-match loaded sample
40% / 60%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
68% / 53%
Risk profile
33% consistency
60 pt range
Avg win margin
Oleksandr Storozhenko / Yaroslav Tebenko
10.9 / 8.7
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 69.6 total · 60% 4+ sets
20% O / 80% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 69.7 total · 60% 4+ sets
30% O / 70% U
Last 20
15 matches · avg 72.4 total · 60% 4+ sets
33% O / 67% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Oleksandr Storozhenko
L vs Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 12:25 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Oleh Savenkov
Setka Cup · Jun 6, 6:55 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Ivan Fashchevskyi
Setka Cup · Jun 6, 4:55 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Oleksii Gazhula
Setka Cup · Jun 6, 2:55 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Oleh Lutsyshyn
Setka Cup · Jun 6, 1:55 PM
0
0 pts
Yaroslav Tebenko
L vs Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Setka Cup · Jun 2, 7:05 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Setka Cup · Jun 2, 5:35 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Oleksii Rodin
Setka Cup · Jun 1, 6:35 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Ilia Ostryi
Setka Cup · Jun 1, 4:35 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Mykola Slozka
Setka Cup · Jun 1, 3:35 PM
0
0 pts