Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Under 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 13 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 31% and Under 74.5 69%. Recent results are 31% over and 69% under, with an average total of 67.4 and 72% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
13 loaded meetings out of 50 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
62%
8/13
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
38%
5/13
Set 1 win rate
Roman Opralka9/13
Zbynek Pagac4/13
When Roman Opralka Wins S1
S2 Zbynek Pagac (Split)
33%3/9
3-0 Roman Opralka (Sweep)
44%4/9
ML Roman Opralka
89%8/9
When Zbynek Pagac Wins S1
S2 Roman Opralka (Split)
25%1/4
3-0 Zbynek Pagac (Sweep)
25%1/4
ML Zbynek Pagac
75%3/4
Post-split ML
Roman Opralka 63%5/8
|Zbynek Pagac 38%3/8
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 50 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Roman Opralka
46%
6/13 meetings cleared the line
Zbynek Pagac
31%
4/13 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Roman Opralka
Average
11.3 pts
Median
11 pts
Zbynek Pagac
Average
10.5 pts
Median
9.5 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 50 tracked.
19 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Roman Opralka
11/11 total close-outs
100%
Up 2-0
100% 6/6
Up 2-1
100% 4/4
Tied 2-2
100% 1/1
Zbynek Pagac
6/8 total close-outs
75%
Up 2-0
100% 3/3
Up 2-1
75% 3/4
Tied 2-2
0% 0/1
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 13 loaded meetings out of 50 tracked.
48 sets in scope
Set #
Roman Opralka
-1.5
63% 30/48
-2.5
48% 23/48
-3.5
40% 19/48
-4.5
33% 16/48
Zbynek Pagac
-1.5
38% 18/48
-2.5
27% 13/48
-3.5
21% 10/48
-4.5
15% 7/48
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
S3 stays live in this profile
28% sweeps with 24% splits and 72% 4+ sets point more toward middle-set markets than a quick 3-0 finish.
Match total
Under 74.5 is playable pre-match
Under hits 69% on the loaded sample with recent 69% and the line sitting 7.1 pts above the matchup average. Trend 0%.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Roman Opralka
Series share 56% across 50 tracked · close-out 100%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
Back Roman Opralka live after an S1 win
Roman Opralka converts 89% of matches after winning set 1 (8/9).
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
18% / 8% win rate
Roman Opralka 9-4 Zbynek Pagac
Current streak
Zbynek Pagac 1
Recent 5 split
Roman Opralka / Zbynek Pagac
3-2
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 13-match loaded sample
38% / 62%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
72% / 38%
Risk profile
23% consistency
56 pt range
Avg win margin
Roman Opralka / Zbynek Pagac
11.3 / 10.5
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 68.8 total · 60% 4+ sets
20% O / 80% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 67.7 total · 60% 4+ sets
30% O / 70% U
Last 20
13 matches · avg 67.4 total · 62% 4+ sets
31% O / 69% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Roman Opralka
W vs Michal Chalupa
Czech Liga Pro · Jun 22, 3:00 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Zdenek Babinec
Czech Liga Pro · Jun 22, 2:00 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Michal Chalupa
Czech Liga Pro · Jun 19, 9:00 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Michal Chalupa
Czech Liga Pro · Jun 19, 8:00 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Zbynek Pagac
Czech Liga Pro · Jun 19, 7:00 PM
0
0 pts
Zbynek Pagac
L vs Michal Chalupa
Czech Liga Pro · Jul 10, 1:30 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Martin Polivka
Czech Liga Pro · Jul 10, 12:30 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Michal Chalupa
Czech Liga Pro · Jul 10, 11:00 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Sebastian Kasnik
Czech Liga Pro · Jul 10, 10:00 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Roman Hudeczek
Czech Liga Pro · Jul 9, 5:00 PM
0
0 pts