Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Setka Cup

51 meetings · Last meeting Jun 2, 8:15 PM · Last total 67

TimeHistory only
Meetings51

Quick read

Under 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 38 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 46% and Under 74.5 54%. Recent results are 50% over and 50% under, with an average total of 76.4 and 73% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Low sweep 27%S2 is the cleanest set angle
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 38 totals
RecentO 50% / U 50%
Texture4+ 73% · Sweep 27%
TrendUnder 54% · +4%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

37 loaded meetings out of 51 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

76%

28/37

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

24%

9/37

Set 1 win rate

73%
27%

Serhii Kalenyk27/37

Oleksii Mitla10/37

When Serhii Kalenyk Wins S1

S2 Oleksii Mitla (Split)

33%9/27

3-0 Serhii Kalenyk (Sweep)

26%7/27

ML Serhii Kalenyk

85%23/27

When Oleksii Mitla Wins S1

S2 Serhii Kalenyk (Split)

60%6/10

3-0 Oleksii Mitla (Sweep)

20%2/10

ML Oleksii Mitla

60%6/10

Post-split ML

Serhii Kalenyk 71%20/28

|

Oleksii Mitla 29%8/28

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 37 loaded meetings out of 51 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Serhii Kalenyk

46%

17/37 meetings cleared the line

Oleksii Mitla

8%

3/37 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Serhii Kalenyk

Average

10.5 pts

Median

11 pts

Oleksii Mitla

Average

3.9 pts

Median

4 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 37 loaded meetings out of 51 tracked.

76 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Serhii Kalenyk

41/51 total close-outs

80%

Up 2-0

89% 16/18

Up 2-1

85% 17/20

Tied 2-2

62% 8/13

Oleksii Mitla

14/25 total close-outs

56%

Up 2-0

100% 4/4

Up 2-1

63% 5/8

Tied 2-2

38% 5/13

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 37 loaded meetings out of 51 tracked.

152 sets in scope

Set #

Serhii Kalenyk

-1.5

62% 94/152

-2.5

44% 67/152

-3.5

34% 51/152

-4.5

28% 43/152

Oleksii Mitla

-1.5

38% 58/152

-2.5

20% 31/152

-3.5

16% 24/152

-4.5

7% 11/152

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

S2 is the cleanest set angle

When Oleksii Mitla wins S1, Serhii Kalenyk answers in S2 60% of the time (6/10). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.

Playable

Match total

Small under lean, not a must-play

Under leads 54% on Robust sample, but the gap is still narrow enough that live pace matters more than the raw board number.

Pass

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Serhii Kalenyk

Series share 67% across 51 tracked · close-out 80%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Playable

Live trigger

If Oleksii Mitla wins S1, look Serhii Kalenyk in S2

Serhii Kalenyk answers in set 2 60% of the time (6/10) when Oleksii Mitla takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.

Playable

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Serhii Kalenyk
Oleksii Mitla

Recent record

9-11
9-11

Win rate

45%
45%

Avg total

0
85

Avg margin

0
-4.8

Current streak

L2
L1

Over 74.5

0%
75%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

53% / 20% win rate

Serhii Kalenyk 27-10 Oleksii Mitla

Current streak

Serhii Kalenyk 1

Recent 5 split

Serhii Kalenyk / Oleksii Mitla

2-3

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 37-match loaded sample

24% / 76%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

73% / 51%

Risk profile

16% consistency

61 pt range

Avg win margin

Serhii Kalenyk / Oleksii Mitla

10.5 / 3.9

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 85.8 total · 100% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 83.5 total · 90% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 78.3 total · 75% 4+ sets

50% O / 50% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Serhii Kalenyk

L vs Orest Hura

Setka Cup · Jun 13, 1:30 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Serhii Berezynskyi

Setka Cup · Jun 12, 11:30 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Valerii Vlasenko

Setka Cup · Jun 12, 9:30 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Anton Shypilov

Setka Cup · Jun 12, 8:30 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Ruslan Lazebny

Setka Cup · Jun 11, 3:15 AM

0

0 pts

Oleksii Mitla

L vs Vitalii S Marushchak

Setka Cup · Jun 8, 11:10 AM

93

-7 pts

W vs Andrii Hrabskyi

Setka Cup · Jun 5, 5:10 PM

105

-1 pts

L vs Artem Yurkov

Setka Cup · Jun 5, 4:10 PM

92

-2 pts

W vs Vladyslav Mishchenko

Setka Cup · Jun 5, 2:40 PM

89

+1 pts

W vs Ivan Fedoryshyn

Setka Cup · Jun 5, 12:40 PM

88

+6 pts