Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
This line needs texture more than raw history
Across 38 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 50% and Under 74.5 50%. Recent results are 50% over and 50% under, with an average total of 76.4 and 72% of meetings reaching 4+ sets. The hit-rate split is still tight, so match shape matters more than the headline percentage.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
28 loaded meetings out of 60 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
75%
21/28
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
25%
7/28
Set 1 win rate
Serhii Kalenyk18/28
Oleksii Mitla10/28
When Serhii Kalenyk Wins S1
S2 Oleksii Mitla (Split)
33%6/18
3-0 Serhii Kalenyk (Sweep)
28%5/18
ML Serhii Kalenyk
83%15/18
When Oleksii Mitla Wins S1
S2 Serhii Kalenyk (Split)
60%6/10
3-0 Oleksii Mitla (Sweep)
20%2/10
ML Oleksii Mitla
60%6/10
Post-split ML
Serhii Kalenyk 67%14/21
|Oleksii Mitla 33%7/21
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 28 loaded meetings out of 60 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Serhii Kalenyk
36%
10/28 meetings cleared the line
Oleksii Mitla
11%
3/28 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Serhii Kalenyk
Average
9.8 pts
Median
10 pts
Oleksii Mitla
Average
4.3 pts
Median
5 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 28 loaded meetings out of 60 tracked.
59 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Serhii Kalenyk
29/36 total close-outs
81%
Up 2-0
92% 11/12
Up 2-1
85% 11/13
Tied 2-2
64% 7/11
Oleksii Mitla
13/23 total close-outs
57%
Up 2-0
100% 4/4
Up 2-1
63% 5/8
Tied 2-2
36% 4/11
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 28 loaded meetings out of 60 tracked.
116 sets in scope
Set #
Serhii Kalenyk
-1.5
59% 68/116
-2.5
41% 47/116
-3.5
32% 37/116
-4.5
28% 32/116
Oleksii Mitla
-1.5
41% 48/116
-2.5
22% 25/116
-3.5
18% 21/116
-4.5
9% 11/116
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
S2 is the cleanest set angle
When Oleksii Mitla wins S1, Serhii Kalenyk answers in S2 60% of the time (6/10). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.
Match total
Pass the pre-match total
At 74.5, the history is basically balanced. Better to wait for live tempo or set depth than force a flat pre-match total.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Serhii Kalenyk
Series share 67% across 60 tracked · recent form 60% win rate · close-out 81%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
If Oleksii Mitla wins S1, look Serhii Kalenyk in S2
Serhii Kalenyk answers in set 2 60% of the time (6/10) when Oleksii Mitla takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
32% / 15% win rate
Serhii Kalenyk 19-9 Oleksii Mitla
Current streak
Serhii Kalenyk 1
Recent 5 split
Serhii Kalenyk / Oleksii Mitla
2-3
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 28-match loaded sample
25% / 75%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
72% / 46%
Risk profile
14% consistency
61 pt range
Avg win margin
Serhii Kalenyk / Oleksii Mitla
9.8 / 4.3
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 85.8 total · 100% 4+ sets
60% O / 40% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 83.5 total · 90% 4+ sets
60% O / 40% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 78.3 total · 75% 4+ sets
50% O / 50% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
No other current-board matches are scheduled for these players.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Serhii Kalenyk
W vs Nazar Kovalchuk
Setka Cup · Jul 24, 10:00 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Anton Shypilov
Setka Cup · Jul 24, 8:00 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Ruslan Lazebny
Setka Cup · Jul 23, 12:15 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Andrii Kotyk
Setka Cup · Jul 22, 11:15 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Ruslan Haiseniuk
Setka Cup · Jul 22, 10:15 PM
0
0 pts
Oleksii Mitla
W vs Nazar Kovalchuk
Setka Cup · Jul 26, 6:05 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Mykyta Smyrnov
Setka Cup · Jul 26, 4:35 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Anton Shypilov
Setka Cup · Jul 25, 6:05 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Orest Hura
Setka Cup · Jul 25, 4:35 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Nazar Kovalchuk
Setka Cup · Jul 25, 3:05 PM
0
0 pts