Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 39 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 66% and Under 74.5 34%. Recent results are 65% over and 35% under, with an average total of 81.3 and 80% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
29 loaded meetings out of 60 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
83%
24/29
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
17%
5/29
Set 1 win rate
Oleksandr Naida16/29
Spartak Abalmaz13/29
When Oleksandr Naida Wins S1
S2 Spartak Abalmaz (Split)
50%8/16
3-0 Oleksandr Naida (Sweep)
13%2/16
ML Oleksandr Naida
63%10/16
When Spartak Abalmaz Wins S1
S2 Oleksandr Naida (Split)
54%7/13
3-0 Spartak Abalmaz (Sweep)
23%3/13
ML Spartak Abalmaz
69%9/13
Post-split ML
Oleksandr Naida 50%12/24
|Spartak Abalmaz 50%12/24
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 29 loaded meetings out of 60 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Oleksandr Naida
31%
9/29 meetings cleared the line
Spartak Abalmaz
28%
8/29 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Oleksandr Naida
Average
9.4 pts
Median
9.5 pts
Spartak Abalmaz
Average
7.4 pts
Median
8 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 29 loaded meetings out of 60 tracked.
68 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Oleksandr Naida
21/37 total close-outs
57%
Up 2-0
63% 5/8
Up 2-1
64% 9/14
Tied 2-2
47% 7/15
Spartak Abalmaz
19/31 total close-outs
61%
Up 2-0
67% 4/6
Up 2-1
70% 7/10
Tied 2-2
53% 8/15
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 29 loaded meetings out of 60 tracked.
126 sets in scope
Set #
Oleksandr Naida
-1.5
49% 62/126
-2.5
32% 40/126
-3.5
25% 31/126
-4.5
19% 24/126
Spartak Abalmaz
-1.5
51% 64/126
-2.5
32% 40/126
-3.5
23% 29/126
-4.5
16% 20/126
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Attack S2 and keep S3 live
S1 losers answer in S2 at 50% when Oleksandr Naida takes the opener and 54% when Spartak Abalmaz does. With 80% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 66% on the loaded sample with recent 65% and the line sitting 6.8 pts below the matchup average. Trend -1%.
Side / ML
Pass the side pre-match
Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.
Live trigger
If Spartak Abalmaz wins S1, look Oleksandr Naida in S2
Oleksandr Naida answers in set 2 54% of the time (7/13) when Spartak Abalmaz takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
23% / 25% win rate
Oleksandr Naida 14-15 Spartak Abalmaz
Current streak
Spartak Abalmaz 1
Recent 5 split
Oleksandr Naida / Spartak Abalmaz
2-3
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 29-match loaded sample
17% / 83%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
80% / 62%
Risk profile
10% consistency
52 pt range
Avg win margin
Oleksandr Naida / Spartak Abalmaz
9.4 / 7.4
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 88.4 total · 100% 4+ sets
60% O / 40% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 80.7 total · 80% 4+ sets
50% O / 50% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 83.5 total · 85% 4+ sets
65% O / 35% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Oleksandr Naida
L vs Valentyn Lobas
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 9:55 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Setka Cup · Jun 10, 2:25 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Roman Gnoevoy
Setka Cup · Jun 10, 12:25 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Vitalii Khamurda
Setka Cup · Jun 9, 11:25 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Dmytro Derevynskyi
Setka Cup · Jun 9, 10:25 PM
0
0 pts
Spartak Abalmaz
L vs Serhii Skachenko
Setka Cup · Jun 12, 9:25 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Vitalii Khamurda
Setka Cup · Jun 10, 2:55 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Dmytro Derevynskyi
Setka Cup · Jun 10, 12:55 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Roman Gnoevoy
Setka Cup · Jun 9, 10:55 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Setka Cup · Jun 9, 9:55 PM
0
0 pts