Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Setka Cup
64 meetings · Last meeting Apr 14, 12:25 AM · Last total 99
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 42 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 67% and Under 74.5 33%. Recent results are 65% over and 35% under, with an average total of 80.3 and 83% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
42 loaded meetings out of 64 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
81%
34/42
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
19%
8/42
Set 1 win rate
Spartak Abalmaz20/42
Oleksandr Naida22/42
When Spartak Abalmaz Wins S1
S2 Oleksandr Naida (Split)
40%8/20
3-0 Spartak Abalmaz (Sweep)
30%6/20
ML Spartak Abalmaz
80%16/20
When Oleksandr Naida Wins S1
S2 Spartak Abalmaz (Split)
50%11/22
3-0 Oleksandr Naida (Sweep)
9%2/22
ML Oleksandr Naida
64%14/22
Post-split ML
Spartak Abalmaz 53%18/34
|Oleksandr Naida 47%16/34
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 42 loaded meetings out of 64 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Spartak Abalmaz
29%
12/42 meetings cleared the line
Oleksandr Naida
21%
9/42 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Spartak Abalmaz
Average
7.8 pts
Median
7.5 pts
Oleksandr Naida
Average
8.2 pts
Median
8 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 42 loaded meetings out of 64 tracked.
95 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Spartak Abalmaz
33/46 total close-outs
72%
Up 2-0
83% 10/12
Up 2-1
80% 12/15
Tied 2-2
58% 11/19
Oleksandr Naida
29/49 total close-outs
59%
Up 2-0
73% 8/11
Up 2-1
68% 13/19
Tied 2-2
42% 8/19
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 42 loaded meetings out of 64 tracked.
179 sets in scope
Set #
Spartak Abalmaz
-1.5
54% 96/179
-2.5
35% 63/179
-3.5
26% 46/179
-4.5
18% 32/179
Oleksandr Naida
-1.5
46% 83/179
-2.5
28% 50/179
-3.5
22% 40/179
-4.5
16% 28/179
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Attack S2 and keep S3 live
S1 losers answer in S2 at 40% when Spartak Abalmaz takes the opener and 50% when Oleksandr Naida does. With 83% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 67% on the loaded sample with recent 65% and the line sitting 5.8 pts below the matchup average. Trend -2%.
Side / ML
Pass the side pre-match
Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.
Live trigger
If Oleksandr Naida wins S1, look Spartak Abalmaz in S2
Spartak Abalmaz answers in set 2 50% of the time (11/22) when Oleksandr Naida takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
38% / 28% win rate
Spartak Abalmaz 24-18 Oleksandr Naida
Current streak
Spartak Abalmaz 1
Recent 5 split
Spartak Abalmaz / Oleksandr Naida
3-2
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 42-match loaded sample
19% / 81%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
83% / 57%
Risk profile
19% consistency
55 pt range
Avg win margin
Spartak Abalmaz / Oleksandr Naida
7.8 / 8.2
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 88.4 total · 100% 4+ sets
60% O / 40% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 80.7 total · 80% 4+ sets
50% O / 50% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 83.5 total · 85% 4+ sets
65% O / 35% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Spartak Abalmaz
L vs Oleksandr Melashenko
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 4:25 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Eduard Rubtsov
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 2:25 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Oleksandr Naida
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 12:25 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Roman Gnoevoy
Setka Cup · Apr 13, 11:25 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Dmytro Derevynskyi
Setka Cup · Apr 13, 10:25 PM
0
0 pts
Oleksandr Naida
L vs Eduard Rubtsov
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 3:25 AM
69
-17 pts
W vs Dmytro Derevynskyi
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 1:55 AM
53
+13 pts
L vs Spartak Abalmaz
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 12:25 AM
99
-3 pts
W vs Oleksandr Melashenko
Setka Cup · Apr 13, 10:55 PM
75
+13 pts
L vs Roman Gnoevoy
Setka Cup · Apr 13, 9:25 PM
58
-10 pts