Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 33 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 55% and Under 74.5 45%. Recent results are 50% over and 50% under, with an average total of 77.9 and 76% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
33 loaded meetings out of 54 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
79%
26/33
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
21%
7/33
Set 1 win rate
Vadym Ishchuk14/33
Andrii Derevianko19/33
When Vadym Ishchuk Wins S1
S2 Andrii Derevianko (Split)
50%7/14
3-0 Vadym Ishchuk (Sweep)
7%1/14
ML Vadym Ishchuk
79%11/14
When Andrii Derevianko Wins S1
S2 Vadym Ishchuk (Split)
32%6/19
3-0 Andrii Derevianko (Sweep)
32%6/19
ML Andrii Derevianko
84%16/19
Post-split ML
Vadym Ishchuk 50%13/26
|Andrii Derevianko 50%13/26
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 33 loaded meetings out of 54 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Vadym Ishchuk
9%
3/33 meetings cleared the line
Andrii Derevianko
45%
15/33 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Vadym Ishchuk
Average
5.4 pts
Median
6 pts
Andrii Derevianko
Average
10.4 pts
Median
12 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 33 loaded meetings out of 54 tracked.
70 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Vadym Ishchuk
24/33 total close-outs
73%
Up 2-0
100% 7/7
Up 2-1
79% 11/14
Tied 2-2
50% 6/12
Andrii Derevianko
29/37 total close-outs
78%
Up 2-0
100% 13/13
Up 2-1
83% 10/12
Tied 2-2
50% 6/12
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 33 loaded meetings out of 54 tracked.
137 sets in scope
Set #
Vadym Ishchuk
-1.5
44% 60/137
-2.5
24% 33/137
-3.5
13% 18/137
-4.5
8% 11/137
Andrii Derevianko
-1.5
55% 76/137
-2.5
39% 54/137
-3.5
32% 44/137
-4.5
22% 30/137
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
S2 is the cleanest set angle
When Vadym Ishchuk wins S1, Andrii Derevianko answers in S2 50% of the time (7/14). Low sweep pressure keeps S3 live if the split lands early.
Match total
Small over lean, not a must-play
Over leads 55% on Robust sample, but the gap is still narrow enough that live pace matters more than the raw board number.
Side / ML
Small ML lean to Andrii Derevianko
Series share 56% across 54 tracked · recent form 75% win rate. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.
Live trigger
If Vadym Ishchuk wins S1, look Andrii Derevianko in S2
Andrii Derevianko answers in set 2 50% of the time (7/14) when Vadym Ishchuk takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
26% / 35% win rate
Vadym Ishchuk 14-19 Andrii Derevianko
Current streak
Andrii Derevianko 2
Recent 5 split
Vadym Ishchuk / Andrii Derevianko
2-3
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 33-match loaded sample
21% / 79%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
76% / 48%
Risk profile
27% consistency
59 pt range
Avg win margin
Vadym Ishchuk / Andrii Derevianko
5.4 / 10.4
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 69.6 total · 40% 4+ sets
40% O / 60% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 68.3 total · 50% 4+ sets
40% O / 60% U
Last 20
20 matches · avg 75.1 total · 70% 4+ sets
50% O / 50% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Vadym Ishchuk
W vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 10:50 AM
53
+15 pts
W vs Mykhailo Sokur
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 9:50 AM
48
+18 pts
L vs Ivan Nitchenko
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 8:20 AM
84
-8 pts
L vs Yevhenii Holoborodko
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 6:20 AM
74
-4 pts
W vs Anatolii Nazarov
Setka Cup · Apr 13, 8:50 PM
93
+5 pts
Andrii Derevianko
W vs Ivan Nitchenko
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 10:20 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 8:50 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Yevhenii Holoborodko
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 7:20 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Mykhailo Sokur
Setka Cup · Apr 14, 5:50 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Setka Cup · Apr 13, 9:20 PM
0
0 pts